PPR Mailbag—How Good is Josh Reddick?

Posted by Jeremy on April 14, 2009 under Readers Mailbag | Be the First to Comment

I received a message in my inbox yesterday asking about the future investment outlook of Boston Red Sox OF prospect Josh Reddick.  Reddick has gotten off to a blazing start belting HR’s in each of this first three games.  For review’s sake, we’ll take a look at his fine 2008 numbers.

The 21 year old Reddick has shown that he is quite capable of handling pitching at the single-A level but struggled against AA pitching.  Given his youth, and rapid ascention a slight hiccup is not surprising and, evidenced by his early returns from ‘09, should not be a problem this season.  In earlier analysis, I compared Reddick to J.D. Drew minus the injuries and walks.  He has the ability to hit for a high batting average with 20-25 HR power and accrue 10-15 SB every season.  His range is good enough for CF and his arm is strong enought to play RF. 

Going forward, the Red Sox will need a right fielder to replace the gradually declining produciton of J.D. Drew.  Reddick is first in line for that opportunity and seemingly has enough talent to effectively fend off challenges from other talented OF’s in the Red Sox system like Ryan Kalish, Peter Hissey, Che-Hsuan Lin, Ryan Westmoreland and others. 

The market for Reddick’s 2008 Bowman Chrome Draft autos sits at about $20-23 each right now which, to me, seems like a strong buy.  Remember, Red Sox prospects have a history of creating huge impacts on the market following their MLB debuts (Clay Buchholz, Justin Masterson, Jed Lowrie, Dustin Pedroia, Jacoby Ellsbury).  Reddick will earn a promotion to AAA Pawtucket at some point this season, barring injury or attrition.  He may get a few Fenway AB’s in September and is sure to have a real chance to win a job this coming spring.

If Andrew Jackson resides in your wallet, trade him (and a few of his twins) for Reddick’s 2008 autos.

4/13 Low-A Minor League Report

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Most of the games in the Midwest League were rained out, so I’ll combine their results with action from the South Atlantic League.  Yesterday, Peter Hissey, Travis Mattair, Zack Collier, and Abner Abreu had nice games offensively, but former #1 draft pick Tim Beckham takes home top player honors.  Beckham had two hits including a double, two RBI and two runs scored.

Low-A Player of the Day—TIM BECKHAM

Other Notable Performances:

• Justin Miller—6 IP 5H ER 3K W(1)
• Alfredo Silverio—1-3 RBI R BB
• Blake Tekotte—1-3 2B RBI
• Dan Robertson—2-3 R BB
• Brett Lawrie—1-2 3B R 2 BB
• Rob Musgrave—4 IP H UER BB 6K
• Brad Brach—IP 3K SV(2)
• Travis Mattair—3-5 3 RBI 2R SB(2)
• Travis D’Arnaud—3-5 RBI R
• Harold Garcia—3-5 2R RBI SB(3)
• Zack Collier—2-3 2 2B R 2 BB SB(2)
• Abner Abreu—4-5 2 2B 2R 2 RBI
• Troy Hanzawa—2-5 2B R RBI
• Ryan Blair—2-5 2R
• Elvin Polanco—2-4 2B 2 RBI
• Ronnie Labrie—2-4 2B RBI
• Stephen Englund—2-3 SB(1)
• Oliver Drake—6 IP 3H ER 2 BB 6K
• Ryan Dent—1-4 2B 2 RBI
• Peter Hissey—2-4 2B 2R RBI
• Mitch Dening—1-3 R 2 BB SB(1)
• Mitch Herold—2 IP 4K
• Tim Beckham—2-5 2B 2R 2 RBI
• Jacob Jeffries—2-4 2B 2 RBI
• Tony Scelfo—2-5 2 2B R RBI
• Jason Tweedy—3-4 2B 2R
• Robi Estrada—2-4 2R 2B
• Josh Saton—2 IP BB 5K
• Chase D’Arnaud—2-4 2B SB(2)
• Robbie Grossman—2-5 2B
• Quincy Latimore—1-4 2 RBI

4/13 High-A Minor League Report

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In the Carolina League, the Marrero brothers each belted their second HR’s of the young season and Braves superstar prospects Jason Heyward and Freddie Freeman each went deep as well.  None of these performances compared to Royals second base prospect Johnny Giavotella’s monster day.  The ‘08 draft pick went 3-4 with two HR’s seven RBI and three runs scored.

Carolina League Player of the Day—JOHNNY GIAVOTELLA

Other Notable Performances:

• Jordan Danks—2-6 R
• Christian Marrero—3-5 2 2B R
• Salvador Sanchez—2-5 HR(2) RBI 3R SB(3)
• Johnny Giavotella—3-4 2 HR(2) 7 RBI 3R
• Adrian Ortiz—1-4 2R BB
• Tyler Henson—2-4 HR(1) RBI 2R BB
• Billy Rowell—2-4 2B R RBI
• Jason Heyward—1-4 HR(1) 3 RBI
• Freddie Freeman—2-4 HR(1) 2 RBI
• Jose Ortegano—5 IP 4H ER 3 BB 4K W(1)
• Chris Marrero—2-5 HR(2) RBI
• Michael Burriss—1-5 HR(1) 2 RBI
• Stephen King—2-3 2B R SB(2)
• Ryan Kalish—1-2 2R 3 BB
• Aaron Reza—2-5 R
• Chih-Hsien Chiang—1-4 2 RBI

The Califonia League had tons of great performances as well.  Buster Posey and Edgardo Baez went deep for the second time and Nick Noonan, Logan Forsythe, and Colin Cowgill logged in their first HR’s.  On the Mound, the A’s righty Scott Mitchinson surrendered just one earned run in five innings and 20 year old Kennil Gomez looked strong in his first start.  Player of the day honors go to Dodgers OF Trayvon Robinson who went 4-6 with his second HR, two RBI and four runs scored.

California League Player of the Day—TRAYVON ROBINSON

Other Notable Performances:

• Ian Gac—1-4 HR(1) 2 RBI
• Mitch Moreland—2-4 R
• Matt Lawson—3-4 HR(1) RBI
• Kennil Gomez—5 IP 7H ER 3 BB 4K W(1)
• Nick Noonan—2-4 HR(1) RBI BB
• Buster Posey—2-3 HR(2) RBI 2 BB
• Brandon Crawford—2-5 RBI
• Trayvon Robinson—4-6 HR(2) 2 RBI 4R 2B
• Taylor Mattingly—3-6 3R RBI
• Edgardo Baez—2-4 HR(2) 2 RBI 2B 2R
• Garett Green—3-6 RBI R
• Tim Sexton—5 IP 6H ER 3K W(1)
• Jason Castro—2-5 2 2B
• Carlos Peguero—3-4 2 RBI 2R 3B
• Eddie Colina—2-4 2R BB
• Kuo Hui Lo—2-4 3 RBI BB 3B R SB(1)
• Logan Forsythe—2-3 HR(1) 3 RBI BB 2R
• Brad Chalk—1-4 2R RBI 2 SB(4)
• Felix Carrasco—1-4 2R RBI BB SB(2)
• Matt Spencer—1-4 2 RBI 2B
• Brian Rike—1-3 2B 2 RBI
• Scott Mitchinson—5 IP 4H ER BB 4K
• Collin Cowgill—2-4 HR(1) 2 RBI 3R 2 BB
• Taylor Harbin—2-5 R
• Sean Coughlan—2-4 HR(2) 4 RBI BB 3R
• Josh Collmenter—5 IP 2H BB 5K W(1)

Florida State League action saw future Florida Marlins stars Michael Stanton and Matt Dominguez start to get on track offensively and Yankees OF speedster Eric Fryer had three hits and his third stolen base.  Joe Benson and Justin Jackson continue to hit the ball well, but not as well as Brewers OF Cole Gillespie who went 3-4 with three RBI and a triple.

Florida State League Player of the Game—COLE GILLESPIE

Other Notable Performances:

• Matt Fields—2-4 HR(1) 3 RBI
• Greg Sexton—3-5 R
• Joe Benson—2-4 RBI
• Ben Revere—1-4 R
• Tim Kennelly—2-4 2 2B R SB(1)
• Arlon Quiroz—1-3 3B R RBI BB
• Justin Jackson—2-4 BB SB(3)
• Darin Mastroianni—2-5 SB(4)
• Yohan Flande—5 IP 3H UER 2 BB 5K W(1)
• Andy Dirks—2-4 RBI
• Eric Fryer—3-5 2 RBI SB(3)
• Austin Romine—2-4 R SB(2)
• Austin Krum—2-4 2B BB
• Logan Schafer—1-4 HR(1) RBI 2R BB
• Caleb Gindl—3-4 3B RBI R SB(1)
• Cole Gillespie—3-4 3B 3 RBI BB SB(1)
• Brent Brewer—1-4 2R BB SB(2)
• Sergio Miranda—2-4 BB
• Tyler Colvin—1-2 R 3 BB
• Dylan Johnston—2-5 HR(1) 2 RBI
• Nate Samson—1-4 2B R BB
• Jermaine Curtis—3-5 RBI BB
• Thomas Pham—2-5 2B RBI
• Shaun Garceau—5 IP H BB 3K
• Michael Stanton—2-4 3B R BB
• Matt Dominguez—1-3 2 RBI BB
• Gregory Burns—2-3 R SB(1)
• Jeff Allison—5 IP 4H 2K   

   

4/13 AA Report

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Eric Sogard’s bat is heating up as he blasted his first HR and reached base five times.  Justin Smoak and Mark Trumbo had solid efforts in their double headers.  Mitch Canham’s bat is rapidly ascending him up the ranks as a top catching prospect, but it was Padres OF prospect Mike Baxter who takes home top player honors with two HR’s and three RBI.

Texas League Player of the Day—MIKE BAXTER

Other Notable Performances:

• Justin Smoak—1-4 2B RBI (Gm 1)…1-2 2B 2R 2BB (Gm 2)
• Mark Trumbo—2-4 RBI (Gm 1)…1-4 HR(1) RBI (Gm 2)
• Brett Hunter—3 IP 2H 2K W(1)
• Ryan Mount—1-4 2B R RBI
• Hank Conger—1-3 RBI R
• Collin DeLome—1-5 HR(2) 2 RBI
• Jordan Parraz—2-3 2 RBI R
• Kurt Mertins—2-5 R RBI
• Chris Nelson—2-4 RBI SB(2)
• Daniel Mayora—3-4 2 2B 2 RBI BB R
• Mike Baxter—3-5 2 HR(2) 3 RBI 2R
• Eric Sogard—2-2 HR(1) RBI 3R 3 BB
• Mitch Canham—2-4 BB
• Corey Wimberley—3-4 2B 2 RBI 2 BB R SB(4)
• Steven Hill—2-4 HR(1) 2 RBI

Lots of big games in the Southern League!  Brandon Allen rapped four hits and Gerardo Parra raised his batting average to .500 with a 3-5, four run two RBI day.  Greg Halman, Gordon Beckham, and Logan Parker all went deep, but the best performance came from Diamondbacks prospect Ricardo Sosa who went 5-6 with his first HR, four RBI and four runs scored.

Southern League Player of the Day—RICARDO SOSA

Other Notable Performances:

• Todd Frazier—3-5 2B 2R RBI
• Logan Parker—3-4 HR(1) RBI BB 2B
• Sean Henry—3-5 RBI
• Misael DeJesus—6 IP 2H ER 3 BB 4K W(1)
• Gerardo Parra—3-5 3B 4R 2 RBI BB
• James Skelton—2-5 2B R
• Ricardo Sosa—5-6 HR(1) 4 RBI 4R
• Cyle Hankerd—2-4 RBI
• Gordon Beckham—2-4 HR(1) 2 RBI
• Brandon Allen—4-5 3B 2R RBI
• Dayan Viciedo—2-4 2R SB(1)
• John Ely—5 IP 2H 4 BB 5K W(1)
• Andrew Lambo—2-4
• Josh Bell—2-2 2B RBI 2 BB
• Ezequiel Carrera—2-5 2R BB SB(1)
• Adam Moore—2-4 2B 2R 2 BB
• Greg Halman—2-6 HR(2) 3 RBI 2B

Brandon Snyder rapped three hits, one of them being his first HR, and David Cooper, Juan Portes, Mark Wagner, John Drennen, and Jamie Romak all hit their first dingers.  Red Sox flame thrower Felix Doubront struck out seven in four innings and Yankees reliever Mike Dunn struck out four in two innings for his first save.  The player of the day in the Northern League, though was Phillies southpaw Michael Stutes who surrendered just two hits in five shutout innings, striking out five for his first victory of ‘09.

Northern League Player of the Day—MICHAEL STUTES

Other Notable Performances:

• Wilson Ramos—2-4 3 RBI
• Juan Portes—2-4 HR(1) 2 RBI 2B
• Jon Still—2-4 2B RBI BB R
• Mark Wagner—1-3 HR(1) 2 RBI 2 BB 2R
• Jorge Jimenez—2-4 2B R 2 RBI BB
• Felix Doubront—4.1 IP 2H 2 ER 2 BB 7K
• Michael Taylor—1-4 RBI
• Michael Stutes—5 IP 2H 3 BB 5K W(1)
• Brandon Snyder—3-4 HR(1) RBI
• Justin Tucker—1-4 2B RBI
• Luis Marte—5.2 IP 5H 2 ER 4K L(1)
• Brett Pill—1-4 2R RBI BB
• Bobby Felmy—2-2 2 RBI R 2 BB SB(1)
• David Cooper—2-4 HR(1) RBI
• Henry Sosa—4 IP 3H ER BB 4K
• Jose Tabata—2-4 2R RBI BB 2 SB(2)
• Jamie Romak—2-5 HR(1) RBI
• John Drennen—1-3 HR(1) 2 RBI BB 2R
• Carlos Rivero—3-4
• Josh Rodriguez—2-3 R BB
• Carlos Santana—1-4 R BB
• Bill Rhinehart—1-4 2B 2 RBI
• Reegie Corona—2-4 2 BB
• Colin Curtis—2-3 2B RBI 2 BB R
• Kanoki Texeira—2.1 IP H 3K W(1)
• Mike Dunne—2 IP H 4K SV(1)

4/13 AAA Minor League Report

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In the International League, Austin Jackson and Nolan Reimold rapped another three hits while Fernando Martinez and Wilkin Ramirez belted their first HR’s of the season.  The player of the day honors belong to Norfolk’s Chris Tillman who fired four no-hit innings in his first start of the season striking out five.

International League Player of the Day—CHRIS TILLMAN

Other Notable Performances:

• Kevin Russo—2-5 RBI
• Austin Jackson—3-5 RBI R
• David Robertson—3 IP H 7K
• Fernando Martinez—2-4 HR(1) RBI 2B 2R
• John Mayberry Jr.—2-3 2B R BB
• Dusty Brown—2-4 2B RBI R
• Trevor Plouffe—1-1 2B R BB SB(1)
• Luis Valbuena—2-4 3B RBI R BB
• Reid Brignac—2-5 2B 3B RBI R
• Wilkin Ramirez—1-3 HR(1) RBI BB
• Will Rhymes—2-4 2 2B R RBI
• Adam Rosales—1-4 HR(2) 2 RBI
• Nolan Reimold—3-4 2R BB
• Matt Wieters—2-4 BB
• Chris Tillman—4 IP 0H 3 BB 5K

On the other coast, Brandon Wood hit HR #3 and Collin DeLome, Mat Gamel, and Tyler Greene all hit their second bombs.  Jeff Samardzija looked good in his first outing as did Cesar Valdez and Gio Gonzalez.  Tuscon’s Alex Romero won top honors with his 2-2 two RBI three walk day.

Pacific Coast League Player of the Day—ALEX ROMERO

Other Notable Performances:

• Julio Borbon—1-4 2B R
• Mat Gamel—1-2 HR(2) 2 RBI BB
• Alcides Escobar—2-4 2B R 2 SB(3)
• Hernan Iribarren—1-3 2B 2 RBI BB
• Tyler Greene—1-5 HR(2) RBI
• Allen Craig—2-3 R RBI
• Jon Jay—2-4
• Blake Hawksworth—5 Ip 7H 2 ER 2 BB 6K
• John Raynor—2-5
• Chris Coughlan—2-4 R BB SB(1)
• Alex Romero—2-2 2B 2R RBI 3 BB
• Josh Whitesell—2-4 2 RBI R BB
• Cesar Valdez—2-4 2 RBI R BB
• Jeff Samardzija—4 IP 2H BB 4K
• Scott Campbell—1-3 2R BB
• Brett Cecil—4 Ip 4H 2 ER 2 BB K
• Brandon Wood—2-4 HR(3) RBI
• Eric Patterson—2-4 2B R BB SB(3)
• Gio Gonzalez—3 IP 3 BB 3K