Top 20 RHP’s for 2009 **Part 1**

Posted by Jeremy on March 17, 2009 under 2009 Top 20 Prospects | Be the First to Comment

Amidst all of my spring training reports, content writing for Hot-Prospects.net, and life outside the blogging world, I had put the Top 20 prospect reports on the back burner.  Well, we are back on track and this segment will feature the better half of the top 20 right handed pitching prospects for 2009.  These RHP’s are ones that are projected to be starters at this stage of their careers as we will handle the relievers in a separate post.  I hope you enjoy this immensely talented list!

 

1.) Tommy Hanson—Atlanta Braves

 

2009 Stats:

Team	League	W	L	ERA	G	GS	CG	SHO	SV	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GO/AO	AVG
MYR	CAR	3	1	0.90	7	7	0	0	0	40.0	15	6	4	0	11	49	0.43	.116
MIS	SOU	8	4	3.03	18	18	1	1	0	98.0	70	39	33	9	41	114	0.85	.197
Minors		11	5	2.41	25	25	1	1	0	138.0	85	45	37	9	52	163	0.71	.175

 

Strengths: Hanson’s fastball velocity jumped from 92-94 MPH to 96-98 MPH.  He locates it well and goes right after hitters.  His curveball is devastating with a hard 12 to 6 break that misses bats.  At 6-6, Hanson uses his height to throw downhill on hitters

Weaknesses: Very few.  Being a flyball pitcher, Hanson has the tendency to leave his heat up in the zone which, while permissable against minor league bats, could lead to trouble against the better hitters in the National League.

2009 Outlook: Hanson has pitched well enough this past fall and during the spring to earn a rotation spot in Atlanta.  He is a prime candidate for the 2009 N.L. Rookie of the Year award and he should anchor a young and talented Braves rotation for years to come.

 

2.) Neftali Feliz—Texas Rangers

 

2008 Stats:

Strengths: A fastball that can register 100 MPH on the radar gun.  Feliz is able to keep his heater down in the strike zone and has shown a marked improvement in controling his breaking ball.  Feliz rarely gets hit hard and is capable of inducing groundball outs when needed.

Team	League	W	L	ERA	G	GS	CG	SHO	SV	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GO/AO	AVG
CLI	MID	6	3	2.52	17	17	0	0	0	82.0	55	25	23	2	28	106	1.64	.193
FRI	TEX	4	3	2.98	10	10	0	0	0	45.1	34	16	15	1	23	47	0.73	.217
Minors		10	6	2.69	27	27	0	0	0	127.1	89	41	38	3	51	153	1.19	.201

 

  

Weaknesses: Pitching in Texas is tough for any pitcher, especially young ones.  Feliz had a big breakout season in ‘08, but he is still extremely young and inexperienced.  While his changeup has made progress, Neftali still struggles to gain a good feel for it sometimes.

2009 Projection: The temptation of the Rangers to rush Feliz into MLB duty gets greater with every solid outing.  He has proven this spring to be the hands down best pitching prospect that Texas has and it is an inevitability that he will make his debut at some point in 2009, likely before the All-Star break.

3.) Rick Porcello—-Detroit Tigers

 

2008 Stats:

Team	League	W	L	ERA	G	GS	CG	SHO	SV	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GO/AO	AVG
LAK	FSL	8	6	2.66	24	24	0	0	0	125.0	116	51	37	7	33	72	2.48	.244
Minors		8	6	2.66	24	24	0	0	0	125.0	116	51	37	7	33	72	2.48	.244

 

 

Strengths: Porcello has the stuff and polish of an All-Star veteran pitcher.  His fastball sits between 93-96 MPH and hitters have a difficult time squaring up and driving it because of the late sinking movement.  His slider is a mid 80’s hammer as is his big breaking curveball, but his changeup is far and away the gem of the offspeed pitches with excellent late fade and velocity that can dip down to 70 MPH.  All of these are potential plus to plus-plus offerings and Porcello commands them all with excellence.  His arm action is top notch and his mechanics are flawless.

Weaknesses: 72 K’s in 125 IP is very uncustomary for someone with Porcello’s pure stuff.  Sometimes his slider tends to get slurvy and lacks the bite that his curveball possesses.

2009 Outlook: Porcello should start in AA, but his ultimate destination this next season is in Detroit’s rotation.  At just 20 years old, Porcello has the potential to be baseball’s best rookie pitcher and an all-star caliber ace for years to come.

 

4.) Trevor Cahill—Oakland Athletics

 

2008 Stats:

Team	League	W	L	ERA	G	GS	CG	SHO	SV	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GO/AO	AVG
STO	CAL	5	4	2.78	14	13	0	0	0	87.1	52	29	27	3	31	103	2.19	.174
MID	TEX	6	1	2.19	7	6	0	0	0	37.0	24	15	9	2	19	33	3.06	.190
Minors		11	5	2.61	21	19	0	0	0	124.1	76	44	36	5	50	136	2.43	.179

 

 

 

Strengths: His low-90’s fastball has heavy sink that induces groundballs by the bunches.  He controls it well and uses it to set up hitters for his knee-buckling 70 MPH curveball.  Cahill has a good idea on how to set up hitters and locate pitches to all quadrants of the strike zone.

Weaknesses: His changeup is a little behind the other two pitches and his confidence in it wanes from time to time.  While his 6-3 frame is athletic and projectible, Cahill will likely not develop the same velocity on his fastball that pitchers like Hanson, Porcello, Feliz and others feature. 

2009 Projection: Cahill is on a fast track and the organizaiton has not ruled out the possibility that he could find his way into the A’s rotation on opening day.  More likely, Cahill will be shipped to AAA Sacramento and await the phone call that will surely come at some point summoning him to the big club.

 

5.) Jordan Zimmerman—Washington Nationals

 

2008 Stats:

Team	League	W	L	ERA	G	GS	CG	SHO	SV	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GO/AO	AVG
POT	CAR	3	1	1.65	5	4	0	0	1	27.1	15	6	5	1	8	31	1.61	.167
HAR	EAS	7	2	3.21	20	20	0	0	0	106.2	89	42	38	9	39	103	1.31	.226
Minors		10	3	2.89	25	24	0	0	1	134.0	104	48	43	10	47	134	1.36	.215

 

 

 

Strengths: His 90-94 MPH fastball has good downward movement and saws off RH batters.  The curveball is a plus pitch with 12-6 break and swing and miss potential.  Zimmerman is a bulldog on the mound and is an agile athlete.

Weaknesses: The third pitch is a changeup and it is a little behind the fastball and curve.  He struggles sometimes with his command and has struggled in the past with heaping too many expectations on himself when he is on the mound.

2009 Outlook: Zimmerman is one of the Nationals’ workhorses in the rotation.  He should fit nicely in the #4 or 5 spot this season with the likelihood of moving into the #2 or 3 slot by 2010.

 

6.)  Chris Tillman—Baltimore Orioles

2008 Stats:

Team	League	W	L	ERA	G	GS	CG	SHO	SV	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GO/AO	AVG
BOW	EAS	11	4	3.18	28	28	0	0	0	135.2	115	53	48	10	65	154	0.82	.227
Minors		11	4	3.18	28	28	0	0	0	135.2	115	53	48	10	65	154	0.82	.227

 

 

Strengths: His fastball gained a little bit of velocity, sitting comfortably at 92-95 MPH.  He uses his 6-5 frame to leverage it well and attack hitters.  His 11-5 tilt on his curveball is wicked and serves as his strikeout pitch. 

Weaknesses: His control improved last season, but he still walked nearly 4 hitter per 9 innings.  He is a flyball pitcher that sometimes has trouble with locating his fastball down in the zone on a consistent basis.

2009 Outlook: Tillman should make his MLB debut at some point in ‘09, but a trip to AAA Bowie is surely in the making.  The Orioles are amassing a weatlh of intriguing pitching talent in their farm system that could blossom quite soon.  When it does, the AL East will have another beast to contend with and Tillman may be leading the charge atop Baltimore’s young rotation.

 

7.) Tim Alderson—San Francisco Giants

 

2008 Stats:

Team	League	W	L	ERA	G	GS	CG	SHO	SV	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GO/AO	AVG
SJO	CAL	13	4	2.79	26	26	0	0	0	145.1	125	48	45	4	34	124	1.02	.235
Minors		13	4	2.79	26	26	0	0	0	145.1	125	48	45	4	34	124	1.02	.235

 

 

 

Strengths: The things that stands out most is Alderson’s pinpoint control.  He is remarkably poised on the mound and has an uncannily high baseball IQ.  Oh, his stuff is pretty good too.  His fastball lives in the low 90’s, topping out at 95.  At 6-7, Alderson throws it downhill at hitters and should be able to generate groundball outs at a decent rate.  His curveball is even better.  It has a hard break and low 80’s velocity, but he has also shown an aptitude for manipulating the velocity and movement of it.

Weaknesses: Some scouts were concerned with the unnatural mechanics of his delivery, thinking that it would affect his durability in the future, but there has been no signs of wear yet.  He needs to gain some bulk on his lean frame and should continue to add depth to his changeup.

2009 Outlook: Alderson should rocket through the Giants system at a similar pace to superstar lefty Madison Bumgarner (more on him later).  Alderson should be ready to make his MLB debut in the second half of the 2010 season and, with Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain already in San Francisco’s rotation, Alderson along with Bumgarner should form the most formidable young rotation ever seen in the Bay Area.  Giants fans rejoice!

8.) Jarrod Parker—Arizona Diamondbacks

 

2008 Stats:

Team	League	W	L	ERA	G	GS	CG	SHO	SV	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GO/AO	AVG
SOU	MID	12	5	3.44	24	24	0	0	0	117.2	113	56	45	8	33	117	1.01	.251
Minors		12	5	3.44	24	24	0	0	0	117.2	113	56	45	8	33	117	1.01	.251

 

 

Strengths: Big time heat that can touch 97 MPH with ease.  His curveball is tops in the Diamondbacks system with late diving action and his slider is another effective pitch.  Parker has a high IQ on the mound and is a tireless worker.  His mechanics are clean and he has a good idea on how to get hitters out

Weaknesses: Parker has a smallish frame that has been durable thusfar, but runs the risk of wearing down as he ages.  His changeup is a “show me” pitch at this point and his fastball tends to get up in the zone (especially late in games) lowering the number of groundball outs and increasing the risk of surrendering XBH.

2009 Outlook: Parker did well in his first professional assignment and he should continue to prove his greatness at High-A and perhaps AA this season.  Parker has the ability to dominate hiters and should continue to rack up big strikeout numbers in ‘09 with a shot of making the D’Backs rotation in mid-late 2010.

 

9.) Michael Bowden—Boston Red Sox

 

2008 Stats:

Strengths: Bowden has a bulldog mentality and breathes baseball.  He has excellent control of three pitches including a 90-92 MPH heater, a 12-6 breaking curveball and a changeup that he throws with deceptive arm speed. 

Weaknesses: Bowden is not overpowering like other pitchers on this list.  He doesn’t induce groundball outs well, which could kill him at Fenway.  His deceptive delivery needs to be cleaned up from the herky jerky movements that could lead to injuries down the road. 

2009 Outlook: In another organization, Bowden would be starting in the middle or end of the rotation.  In Boston, he is a AAA farmhand.  Expect him to start at Pawtucket until an injury or trade allows him an opportunity.  With Clay Buchholz and Justin Masterson ahead of him, the latter may be his best bet.  Ultimately his ceiling is as a durable and effective #3 starter.  Given his high amount of success and polish, there is a good chance he will fulfill that promise.

 

10.) Jhoulys Chacin—Colorado Rockies

 

2008 Stats:

Weaknesses: Chacin’s stuff is not overpowering and, if it is not on, he can be hit hard.  Colorado finesse pitchers have a history of struggling in the light air of Coors Field as their stuff seemingly does not experience the same movement.  A pitch with lateral break (i.e. a slider) would be a welcome addition as Jhoulys’ pitches all have downward movement.  He is not that big and his slender build may struggle to sustain a workload suitable for a top of the rotation starter.

2009 Outlook: ‘09 will be a show me season at AA Tulsa.  It will be interesting to see how his stuff carries over to this challenging level.  Brandon Hynick, a similar finesse pitcher, struggled mightily last season after having an immensely successful season at High-A.  Chacin’s stuff is better, but a repeat performance from 2008’s breakout campaign will be a monumental challenge.

 

There’s the top 10….your thoughts are welcome.  I will get to work on the 11-20th ranked RHP’s and should have them completed within the next couple of days.  Remember that Friday March 20th is the final day for the PPR Contest.  Thusfar we have 8 excellent submissions and I am always looking for more!

Have a great day!

Top 20 Outfield Prospects 2009 (Part 2)

Posted by Jeremy on March 11, 2009 under 2009 Top 20 Prospects | Be the First to Comment

I apologize for the long delay in getting to part two of the Top 20 OF Prospects list.  If you need a reveiw of the Top 10 on the list you can read it on this, click this link.  Picking up at #11 is a prospect that, prior to the beginning of last season, would have been easily in the top 5.  Jordan Schafer’s  50 game suspension for using HGH and a slow rebound bumps him down the list a little bit, but the 5-tool talent is still there and the opportunity to be a significant contributor to the Braves 2009 ballclub is a distinct reality.

 

11.) Jordan Schafer—Atlanta Braves

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
MIS	SOU	.269	84	297	46	80	18	6	10	51	140	49	88	12	5	.378	.471	.850
Minors		.269	84	297	46	80	18	6	10	51	140	49	88	12	5	.378	.471	.850

 

 

Strengths: Schafer is a true 5-tool prospect.  He has a fluid LH swing that eventually should generate 20-25 HR at the major league level.  His above average speed is used well on the bases and in the OF where his glove and arm make him a viable Gold Glove candidate.  He makes good contact and has shown the ability to draw walks

Weaknesses: The suspension was a big black mark on his development.  He failed to post the same numbers in his return that he demonstrated in 2007, leading to further skepticism regarding the authenticity of his breakout season. 

2009 Outlook: Schafer has handled things well since his return and should get a long look by the Braves this spring.  He is an integral part to the future of the organization and still possesses a skill set quite similar to that of St. Louis Cardinals prospect Colby Rasmus and Cleveland Indians All-Star OF Grady Sizemore.  Expect Schafer to get more seasoning in AAA at the start of the ‘09 season before earning a call up in the early summer months.

 

12.) Dominic Brown—Philadelphia Phillies

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
LAK	SAL	.291	114	444	77	129	23	3	9	54	185	64	72	22	7	.382	.417	.798
Minors		.291	114	444	77	129	23	3	9	54	185	64	72	22	7	.382	.417	.798

 

 

 

 

Strengths: Off the charts athletic ability and tools galore.  Brown has a build similar to Darryl Strawberry but exudes plate discipline and an ability to hit for a high batting average that is rarely seen in young hitters.  Brown has speed that fits well at the top of a lineup and he uses it well on the basepaths.  His long frame should build more strength, and with it, increased HR power. Though he has the ability to play CF, he will likely shift to RF as a pro due to his size and cannon arm.

Weaknesses: Not many.  Right now, the power is merely projectible at this point.  He often elects to employ a more conservative approach at the plate, driving the occasional pitch.  His game is quite similar at this point to Rockies prospect Dexter Fowler, making his future HR totals difficult to project.  If he does focus more on power, it is conceivable that he will run less and hopes of 20+ SB seasons could diminish.

2009 Outlook: Brown will continue to progress at High-A Clearwater, but now he is assuredly on the Phillies’ fast track.  Don’t be surprised to see him move to AA at some point this season to play alongside the statuesque Michael Taylor.  Brown’s future within the organization is extremely bright and he could find himself in the Top 5 of this list by the start of next season.

 

13.) Greg Halman—Seattle Mariners

2008 Stats:

 

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
HDM	CAL	.268	67	257	52	69	15	3	19	53	147	16	76	23	1	.320	.572	.892
WTN	SOU	.277	61	235	43	65	14	2	10	30	113	16	66	8	6	.332	.481	.813
Minors		.272	128	492	95	134	29	5	29	83	260	32	142	31	7	.326	.528	.854

 

 

Strengths: At 6-4 195 lb., Halman is a freakishly good athlete.  He possesses wiry strength and top-flight speed that should translate into being a 30 HR 30 SB threat at the major league level.  He has proven to be resiliant, battling against profound struggles in the early part of his professional career to have success at higher levels.  Defensively, Halman has the range to play CF, but the size, arm, and power potential to be a bonafide star in RF.

Weaknesses: Plate discipline is still a long way from being MLB-ready.  Halman struggles with working counts and recognizing off speed pitches.  This leads him to be slump prone at times and exploitable by more advanced pitchers.

2009 Outlook: Halman handled the challenges of two promotions last year with excellent results and has earned a starting nod as the Tacoma Rainiers’ opening day RF.  Expect him to stay for most the season at this level before earning a late summer call up (possibly post-Sept 1).  The Seattle Mariners are an organization undergoing a major transformation and Halman figures prominently in their future plans.

 

14.) Julio Borbon—Texas Rangers

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
BAK	CAL	.306	66	291	47	89	20	0	2	36	115	15	30	36	7	.346	.395	.741
FRI	TEX	.337	60	255	40	86	12	2	5	22	117	14	32	17	11	.380	.459	.838
Minors		.321	126	546	87	175	32	2	7	58	232	29	62	53	18	.362	.425	.787

 

 

Strengths: Superb top of the order bat that hits for a high average and good plate discipline.  Borbon uses his speed as a lethal weapon on the basepaths where he stole 53 bags last year.  Borbon has demonstrated a pleasing uptick in his XBH power last season and has the strength to hit 10-15 HR per year in the major leagues.  Defensively, the fleet footed Borbon is the best OF in Texas’ rich farm system.

Weaknesses: Borbon will never be a middle of the lineup producer.  He also needs to work on increasing his walk totals in order to optimize his potential as a leadoff hitter. 

2009 Outlook: He’ll start at AAA Oklahoma City with a chance of earning a late season callup by the Rangers.  Texas is flush with some solid OF’s right now including Josh Hamilton, Nelson Cruz, David Murphy, Marlon Byrd and Brandon Boggs.  Borbon offers something that none of them have–elite speed.  He is the leadoff hitter of the future for the Rangers and that future should begin in 2010.

 

15.) Aaron Hicks—Minnesota Twins

 2008 Stats:

2008 Season
Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
TWI	GCL	.318	45	173	32	55	10	4	4	27	85	28	32	12	2	.409	.491	.900
Minors		.318	45	173	32	55	10	4	4	27	85	28	32	12	2	.409	.491	.900

 

 

Strengths: Tools across the board.  Hicks demonstrated excellent power, speed, plate discipline, and defense in his professional debut.  His athleticism is extremely advanced and projects to improve as he matures.  He has been clocked in the mid-90’s off of the mound, which speaks very well of his arm strength.

Weaknesses: At this time, the only downside is his limited professional exposure.  Hicks will need to prove that he can duplicate his performances in more advanced settings.

2009 Outlook: Hicks has assuredly earned a promotion to full season baseball and he should continue to perform quite well there.  With Ben Revere in the fold in CF, Hicks’ arm strength would be an asset in RF.  He will need to continue to develop his power numbers in order to keep up with the influx of 20+ HR hitters that man that position.  He projects to do so, but at this point, it’s merely a projection.  If he does boost his power numbers, Hicks could grace the top of this list in the near future.

 

16.) Austin Jackson—New York Yankees

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
TRE	EAS	.285	131	520	75	148	33	5	9	69	218	56	113	19	6	.354	.419	.773
Minors		.285	131	520	75	148	33	5	9	69	218	56	113	19	6	.354	.419	.773

 

 

Strengths: Above average athleticism and emerging raw power.  Jackson has quick hands and is slowly improving his feel for the strike zone.  Defensively, Jackson has enough range and more than enough arm strength to be a solid CF. 

Weaknesses: He is still overly aggressive at the plate, striking out way too much and working himself into pitching-adventageous counts.  He has a body frame that could build some bulk and lose speed as he ages making him more of a slugger than a runner.

2009 Outlook: A-Jack should start at AAA Scranton-Wilkes Barre and will make his MLB debut at some point in ‘09.  Brett Gardner and Melky Cabrera should occupy a majority of the time in CF, but neither is a sure bet to hold the position for a long period of time.  Any lapse by either one of them could expediently usher in the beginning of the Austin Jackson era in the Bronx.

 

17.) Ben Revere—Minnesota Twins

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
BEL	MID	.379	83	340	51	129	17	10	1	43	169	27	31	44	13	.433	.497	.930
Minors		.379	83	340	51	129	17	10	1	43	169	27	31	44	13	.433	.497	.930

 

 

Strengths: Revere makes excellent contact with just about anything he hits, evoking comparisons to other batting champions Ichiro Suzuki and Tony Gwynn.  LIke those two, Revere has more power than he demonstrates and he should build upon his 2008 totals of 28 XBH make 5-10 clear the fences every year.  He is a smart player with excellent speed and plate discipline that should make him an elite top of the order hitter.  Defensively, Revere covers vast territory in CF and has good instincts.

Weaknesses: The lack of pop places him down on this list.  Though he doesn’t strike out much, Revere also doesn’t walk as much as a leadoff hitter should.  His arm strength has been a concern as well and may force him to move to LF in the future.

2009 Outlook: Flirting with .400 in his first full season of baseball should place Revere on the organization’s fast track.  He will start at High-A Fort Myers with a real shot of earning a promotion to AA New Britain at some point.  The Twins have a ton of speedy young talent sprinkled throughout their farm system, but Revere should earn a full time spot in the Metrodome within the next 2-3 seasons.

 

18.) Andrew Lambo—L.A. Dodgers

2008 Stats:

 

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
GLL	MID	.288	123	472	58	136	33	2	15	79	218	41	110	5	2	.346	.462	.807
JAX	SOU	.389	8	36	7	14	2	1	3	12	27	2	9	0	0	.421	.750	1.171
Minors		.295	131	508	65	150	35	3	18	91	245	43	119	5	2	.351	.482	.833

 

 

Strengths: Lambo has 25-30 HR per year power potential and his sweet left-handed swing has evoked comparisons to fellow Dodgers 1B James Loney.  Lambo hits well with runners on base, racking up big RBI totals and XBH numbers.  He has a very strong arm and enough athleticism to play a corner OF spot or 1B at the major league level. 

Weaknesses: He is a below average runner and tends to get overly aggressive at times at the plate, elevating his strikeout totals.  He has also had a history of off the field issues, but seems to have put some of those indiscretions behind him.

2009 Outlook: Lambo will begin at AA Chattanooga and should play there most of the year.  If he has a great deal of success, he may earn a call up in September for a few late season AB’s.  Expect his role with L.A. to increase significantly in 2010.

 

19.) Jose Tabata—Pittsburgh Pirates 

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
TRE	EAS	.248	79	294	40	73	9	0	3	36	91	26	49	10	2	.320	.310	.630
PIR	GCL	.455	4	11	4	5	1	0	2	7	12	2	0	0	0	.538	1.091	1.629
ALT	EAS	.348	22	89	16	31	6	2	3	13	50	8	18	8	0	.402	.562	.964
Minors		.277	105	394	60	109	16	2	8	56	153	36	67	18	2	.345	.388	.733

 

 

Strengths: Tabata has quick hands that create excellent bat speed and contact.  He has put on some considerable bulk over the past season (up to 215 lbs. now) which may indicate that he should become more of a slugger than a speedster.  His arm is strong enough to play RF and he has adaquate range for that position.

Weaknesses: Tabata is still working on his strike zone judgement.  He makes good contact, but doesn’t work counts enough for walk totals.  As he builds his power numbers, it will be more important for him to recognize when pitchers are throwing around him.  He has had some injury woes over the past couple of seasons, and given his weight gain, this can become an increasing nuisance.  Also, attitude issues plagued him as a Yankee prospect, but he has seemingly had an awakening since his trade to Pittsburgh and has thrived on the field.

2009 Outlook: The Pirates are trying to figure out what they have aside from Nate McLouth in the OF.  Andrew McCutchen is sure to take over the CF duties in the near future, but things may open up for Tabata if he can replicate his post-Yankees performance in ‘09.  At just 20 years old, there is plenty of time for the young OF to develop into an excellent offensive player.

 

20.) Daryl Jones—St. Louis Cardinals

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
PBC	FSL	.326	87	307	43	100	11	7	7	35	146	33	67	18	5	.406	.476	.881
SPR	TEX	.290	36	124	19	36	6	1	6	14	62	22	30	6	1	.409	.500	.909
Minors		.316	123	431	62	136	17	8	13	49	208	55	97	24	6	.407	.483	.889

 

 

Strengths: Jones’ rich assortment of tools matured into tangible skills last season.  He has excellent speed that he uses effectively on the basepaths and in the outfield.  His power numbers increased significantly, leading some to believe that he can be a 20 HR/20 SB player at the major league level.  He makes good contact at the plate and made some progress with his discipline at the plate.

Weaknesses: Jones still strikes out a little more than the Cardinals would like to see.  His jump from dismal ‘07 numbers to All-Star worthy ‘08 numbers, though done at two advanced levels, will need to be replicated again to confirm his status as a rapidly rising prospect.  With Colby Rasmus likley manning the CF position, Jones will need to demonstrate more power in order to hold down a corner OF spot.

2009 Outlook: He could find himslef in AAA Memphis for the beginning of the season as Rasmus’ replacement.  Watch the power numbers and the OBP numbers.  If he can continue his progress from last season, he may find himself wearing a Cardinals jersey in September.

 

At long last, there are the top 20 outfield prospects for 2009.  There are so many other good ones left to list and, of course, this list should look entirely different next year.  For your viewing pleasure, I will give you the next 10 OF prospects as I see them at this stage of the game.  Mind you, this was a difficult list to compile and I would love to see how your list would shake out…

21.) Michael Burgess—Big time power potential, but the K’s need to be cut back

22.) Nolan Reimold—Polished hitter and ready for the show.  At 25 however, he needs to make an impact soon

23.) Engel Beltre—Plate discipline is the only thing that keeps him away from the top 10

24.) Jaff Decker—Incredible debut and even more incredible bat…keep an eye on this one

25.) Gerardo Parra—Excellent top of the lineup skills and emerging power

26.) Desmond Jennings—Injuries keep this mega talent from cracking the top 20

27.) John Raynor—Super speedy and enough power to be a dangerous leadoff hitter.  Needs to cut the K’s.

28.) Josh Reddick—Power and a big time RF arm.  Needs to succeed at AA this season.

29.) Lorenzo Cain—AFL performance has opened some eyes.  Superb athlete that could rise quickly.

30.) Wendell Fairley—Showed plate discipline and power potential in debut.  Seems to have put attitude issues behind him.

 

That is indeed quite the list!  Next on the docket is the top 20 RHP prospects….stay tuned for this list, it will be a doozy!

 

 

 

 

 

 

Top 20 Outfield Prospects for 2009 (Part 1)

Posted by Jeremy on February 24, 2009 under 2009 Top 20 Prospects | Read the First Comment

Are you ready for a banger of a list?  I originally made a list of about 50 OF that could potentially find their way onto this list and had a dickens of a time narrowing it down to the top 20.  This link will contain the top 10 and a following link will have 11-20. 

If you are on your best behavior….I will add a gratuitous third list covering ranks 21-30.

I was oscillating between three strong candidates for the top honors on the list.  I chose to go with youthful upside over polish and experience.  Jason Heyward exceeded the lofty expectations heaped upon him by the baseball prospecting world by decimating pitching in his first dose of full season ball.  As good as his season was, he has yet to even chisel through the surface of his mountainous potential. 

 

1.) Jason Heyward—Atlanta Braves

2008 Stats:

ROM	SAL	.323	120	449	88	145	27	6	11	52	217	49	74	15	3	.388	.483	.871
MYR	CAR	.182	7	22	3	4	2	0	0	4	6	2	4	0	0	.240	.273	.513
Minors		.316	127	471	91	149	29	6	11	56	223	51	78	15	3	.381	.473	.854

 

 

Strengths: Where to begin with this youngster?  Heyward has off the charts power potential, plus speed, a cannon for an arm, and has shown an ability to hit for a high average with excellent plate discipline.  Heyward is an intelligent ballplayer who carries his lunchpail to work day in and day out.

Weaknesses: Just experience at this point.  Chances are that he will lose some of his speed as he ages and will become more of a slugger.  He did struggle in his brief time at High-A Myrtle Beach, but there is no reason to believe that this will be a prolonged problem for the 19 year old southpaw.

2009 Outlook: Heyward gets a  taste of the Braves’ big league camp this spring but his early regular season months will be spent back at Myrtle Beach.  There’s a big possibility that he will earn a promotion to AA Mississippi at some point.  Heyward is a fast track player and one of baseball’s most intriguing prospects.

 

2.) Travis Snider—Toronto Blue Jays

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
DUN	FSL	.279	17	61	15	17	5	0	4	7	34	5	22	1	0	.333	.557	.891
NHM	EAS	.262	98	362	65	95	21	0	17	67	167	52	116	1	1	.357	.461	.818
SYR	INT	.344	18	64	9	22	5	0	2	17	33	4	16	1	0	.386	.516	.901
Minors		.275	133	487	89	134	31	0	23	91	234	61	154	3	1	.358	.480	.838
MLB		.301	24	73	9	22	6	0	2	13	34	5	23	0	0	.338	.466	.803

 

 

Strengths: Jaw dropping power potential.  Snider has a thick muscular build that generates incredible torque from a left handed swing that produces tape measure moon shots.  He is a gritty player who works hard in all aspects of his game.  He is more athletic than he looks and profiles as an pretty good RF with a rocket arm.

Weaknesses: The price for great power is a prolific number of strikeouts.  Snider’s high K rates lends him to be streaky at times at the plate.  He is just 20 years old, but has already maxed out physically.  He should lose some of his average speed as he ages and could be a risk for injuries.

2009 Outlook: Snider looks to have a starting OF spot locked up before spring starts.  He is a prime candidate for the ‘09 A.L. Rookie of the Year award, but he could be afflicted by a post debut slump just as well.  Long term, there is plenty to be excited about in this youngster.

 

3.) Cameron Maybin—Florida Marlins

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
CAR	SOU	.277	108	390	73	108	15	8	13	49	178	60	124	21	7	.375	.456	.831
Minors		.277	108	390	73	108	15	8	13	49	178	60	124	21	7	.375	.456	.831
MLB		.500	8	32	9	16	2	0	0	2	18	3	8	4	0	.543	.563	1.105

 

 

Strengths: Maybin has a wide assortment of tools emanating from a highly athletic and strong 6-4 205 lb. frame.  Cameron possesses track star speed and sinewy strength that should make him a perennial 20 HR/20 SB player and, possibly, a 30 HR/30 SB threat in future seasons.  He covers a ton of real estate in CF while running good routes on balls and employs excellent arm strength as well.

Weaknesses: His performance has yet to match his tools.  Maybin was rushed through the Tigers farm system and the results were lackluster.  The Marlins have taken a more prudent approach to his development, which seems to have rendered more positive results.  He strikes out too much and doesn’t walk enough.  This affects his ability to get on base at higher levels and utilize his game changing speed.  He has considerable power potential, but doesn’t seem to know quite how to tap into it.  He hits a high rate of groundballs and struggles at times to generate the necessary swing trajectory to drive pitches.

2009 Outlook: Maybin is ready to become a full time major league hitter.  His development is not quite consummated, but his skill set is too good to keep down on the farm any longer.  Maybin has the potential to be the National League’s best rookie in 2009, but his plate discipline and ability to drive the ball need to improve.  Eventually, his skills should win out and translate to a highly productive major league career.

 

4.) Colby Rasmus—St. Louis Cardinals

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
CAR	GCL	.556	3	9	1	5	1	0	1	2	9	3	2	0	0	.667	1.000	1.667
PBC	FSL	.000	3	9	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	.182	.000	.182
MEM	PCL	.251	90	331	56	83	15	0	11	36	131	49	72	15	3	.346	.396	.742
Minors		.252	96	349	58	88	16	0	12	38	140	53	77	15	3	.351	.401	.752

 

 

Strengths: Rasmus has an exciting blend of speed and power potential that could land him at the top of a lineup or in the middle.  He has shown an ability to draw walks and is an impact player on the basepaths.  Defensively, Rasmus is as good as they come.  His spectacular plays and vast range reminds some of a former Gold Glove CF that patrolled Busch Stadium for years, Jim Edmonds.

Weaknesses: Injuries hampered Rasmus last season and for the second season in a row, Colby struggled in the early parts of the season.  Additionally, Colby has yet to display the ability to hit for a high average since his 2006 numbers at short season Quad Cities.

2009 Outlook: The Cardinals seem ready to have Rasmus challenge to take over the everyday CF duties on Opening Day.  Rasmus has the ability to put up Grady Sizemore-like numbers in future seasons, but odds are that he will suffer some growing pains in his first couple of seasons.  Hopefully they will be limited to performance and not health.

 

5.) Matt LaPorta—Milwaukee Brewers

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
HUN	SOU	.288	84	302	56	87	23	2	20	66	174	45	63	2	1	.402	.576	.978
AKR	EAS	.233	17	60	6	14	1	0	2	8	21	4	12	0	0	.299	.350	.649
Minors		.279	101	362	62	101	24	2	22	74	195	49	75	2	1	.386	.539	.924

 

 

Strengths: LaPorta has 30-40 HR power potential and the ability to hit for a high average as well.  Matt is a polished hitter with good plate discipline and above average hand-eye coordination.  LaPorta has an engaging personality that makes him a positive presence in every clubhouse and a potential team leader.

Weaknesses: Matt struggled after being traded to Cleveland, but those shouldn’t affect his long term development.  He is a fringe average defensive player as both an outfielder and first baseman.  He may end up as a DH in future seasons.  He has below average speed that makes him a coagulant on the bases.

2009 Outlook:  Matt will make his MLB debut at some point this season, probably after May.  Expect him to rebound from last year’s struggles at Akron to hit very well at AAA Columbus.  Once he arrives, his power bat should anchor the middle of the Indians lineup for several seasons to come.

 

6.) Dexter Fowler—Colorado Rockies

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
TUL	TEX	.335	108	421	92	141	31	9	9	64	217	65	89	20	8	.431	.515	.946
Minors		.335	108	421	92	141	31	9	9	64	217	65	89	20	8	.431	.515	.946
MLB		.154	13	26	3	4	0	0	0	0	4	0	5	0	1	.185	.154	.339

 

 

Strengths: Fowler is an exciting athlete with top of the order speed and the ability to hit for average and decent power numbers.  He has exhibited a great deal of patience at the plate which results in a high number of walks.  Defensively, Dexter is exciting to watch.  He tracks down balls well in the gaps making highlight reel plays and his strong arm should play anywhere.  He is an intelligent player who once turned down a basketball scholarship to Harvard.

Weaknesses: Fowler needs to continue to get stronger.  His wiry frame doesn’t quite produce the pop that people anticipate he will eventually develop.  He had a problem with injuries in the past, though his ‘08 season was injury free. 

2009 Outlook: Fowler has a great shot to make the club out of spring training as Ryan Spilborghs is his only competition in CF.  A good showing this spring should relegate Spilborghs to the 4th oufielder spot.  If things don’t go well in spring training, the Rockies may elect to send him to Colorado Springs for some fine tuning.  Fowler is a prime top of the lineup candidate whose best years are ahead of him.

 

7.) Andrew McCutchen—Pittsburgh Pirates

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
IND	INT	.283	135	512	75	145	26	3	9	50	204	68	87	34	19	.372	.398	.770
Minors		.283	135	512	75	145	26	3	9	50	204	68	87	34	19	.372	.398	.770

 

 

Strengths: Top of the lineup skills that includes elite speed that can steal 25-30 bases per MLB season, and an advanced, patient approach at the plate that draws a high amount of walks.  McCutchen has a highly athletic and wiry frame that has intriguing power potential.  He has put on some muscle in the offseason which could well translate into more HR’s.  He plays with an elevated level of confidence and seems to put up better numbers after every promotion.  McCutchen’s also has the potential to be a Gold Glove outfielder with a propensity to make spectacular plays.

Weaknesses: The power hasn’t developed as some have expected, perhaps partly due being rushed through the Pirates’ system.  Also, he needs to be more disciplined on the basepaths as well.  McCutchen was caught stealing 19 times in 53 chances last season.

2009 Outlook: The long awaited MLB debut for Andrew McCutchen will happen this season, but not in April.  The Pirates would like to have him play every day and are still trying to assess the potential productivity of Steven Pearce, Brandon Moss and Nyjer Morgan.  Once McCutchen makes his debut, he should rise to the challenge and be the rock solid impact player atop Pittsburgh’s lineup for the next several years.

 

8.) Fernando Martinez—New York Mets

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
MTS	GCL	.429	4	14	2	6	1	1	0	0	9	0	2	0	0	.467	.643	1.110
BIN	EAS	.287	86	352	48	101	19	4	8	43	152	27	73	6	2	.340	.432	.772
Minors		.292	90	366	50	107	20	5	8	43	161	27	75	6	2	.345	.440	.785

 

 

Strengths: Martinez has a quick swing that generates good leverage that should be able to produce 25-30 HR per season within the next couple of years.  Those who watch him rave about his advanced hitting approach and feel that he can evolve into a .300 hitter. 

Weaknesses: He’s been bitten by the injury bug over the past couple of seasons which has hampered some of his development.  Aside from his outstanding bat, his other skills are average.  The Mets organization would like to see him demonstrate more patience at the plate as advanced pitchers will find ways to get him out.

2009 Outlook: F-Mart is on the cusp of a big time breakout.  His performance in the Dominican Winter League gave a brief glimpse of power to come.  The Mets will likely start him at AAA Buffalo before bringing him up for his MLB debut in the second half of the season.  The offensive ceiling for this 20 year old is incredibly high and someday his name may be mentioned in the same breath as David Wright and Jose Reyes.

 

9.) Michael Stanton—Florida Marlins

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
GBO	SAL	.293	125	468	89	137	26	3	39	97	286	58	153	4	2	.381	.611	.993
Minors		.293	125	468	89	137	26	3	39	97	286	58	153	4	2	.381	.611	.993

 

 

Strengths: The ball explodes off of this kid’s bat.  To project him as a 40 HR hitter may be underestimating his potential ceiling.  At 6-5 225 lb., Stanton is built like a statue but has the athleticism of an NFL wide receiver.  His plus speed and arm strength makes him a prototypical RF in the mold of Dave Winfield.  He is an intelligent young man with a great work ethic as well.

Weaknesses: 158 punchouts is to high, even for a hitter with Stanton’s immense power.  He is fooled quite easily by breaking pitches and still has a raw feel for the strike zone.  Despite his good speed, Michael Stanton doesn’t steal many bags-a trend that should continue as he matures. 

2009 Outlook: A 39 HR season as a 19 year old puts Stanton on the fast track.  He should start the season at High-A Jupiter and could earn a promotion to AA Jacksonville if all goes well.  The chances for a 2009 slump is a real possibility.  Stanton has propelled himself onto the radar screens of just about every minor league pitcher.  The Florida State League is a pitcher’s haven and the expectations heaped upon Stanton after his ‘08 campaign will be difficult to uphold.  Long term, his place alongside Cameron Maybin and opposite John Raynor will give the Marlins an outfield as talented as any in major league baseball within the next few seasons.

 

10.) Michael Taylor—Philadelphia Phillies

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
LAK	SAL	.361	67	249	40	90	12	3	10	50	138	31	43	10	3	.441	.554	.995
CLE	FSL	.329	65	243	36	80	27	1	9	38	136	19	46	5	6	.380	.560	.939
Minors		.346	132	492	76	170	39	4	19	88	274	50	89	15	9	.412	.557	.968

 

 

Strengths: Taylor is a complete hitter with a muscular 6-6 250 lb. frame and left handed swing that can launch balls into the stratosphere.  He is an excellent athlete that runs well, steals bases and plays a very good right field.  His plate discipline is quite advanced and he brings an intelligent approach to all aspects of his game.

Weaknesses: Given his size, it is conceivable that he could lose some of his basestealing abilities as he ages and could become more of a power hitter.  His BB/K ratio regressed after his promotion to High-A, though it didn’t have a noticable effect on his batting average.  He is currently 23 years old and needs to avoid having any setbacks at AA or AAA in order to maintain his status as an elite prospect. 

2009 Outlook: AA will be the next step for Taylor.  This should provide a firm indicator to the true scope of his offensive skills.  If he can continue his torrid hitting, Taylor could vault himself into the top five slots on this list.  Expect him to be in the major leagues at some time in 2010…perhaps in April.

 

Stay tuned for the second half of this list and feel free to comment of the Top 10.  There are plenty of sound investments in this group of future superstars and the market for their cards is starting to sizzle.  If you are looking to make a purchase, please feel free to do so through one of my eBay affiliate links!

Top 20 Third Base Prospects for 2009 (Part 1)

Posted by Jeremy on February 19, 2009 under 2009 Top 20 Prospects | 2 Comments to Read

For those of you who enjoy these top 20 lists, I apologize for the delay in compiling this one.  I knew that this was going to be a banger of a list, but after writing about 40-50 names of potential candidates, I am absolutely floored at the amount of talent left off of this list.  The top 20 is an intriguing blend of polished college players and high upside youngsters from both the domestic and international markets.   Diverse as they may seem, each player has something in common–they can flat out rake. 

After oscillating between two Scott Boras clients for top spot honors, I have decided to go with the #2 overall pick of the 2007 draft Mike Moustakas. 

 

1.) Mike Moustakas—Kansas City Royals

2008 Stats:

 

 

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
BUR	MID	.272	126	496	77	135	25	3	22	71	232	43	86	8	4	.337	.468	.805
Minors		.272	126	496	77	135	25	3	22	71	232	43	86	8	4	.337	.468	.805

 

 

Strengths: Moustakas has a bat that produces prolific power to all fields (he hit 52 HR in his high school career).  He has a strong feel for the strike zone and should be able to hit for a high batting average as well.  His cannon arm is ideal for 3B as he has been clocked at 98 MPH as a prep player.  His athleticism has continually improved over the past three seasons which should open up some opportunities defensively

Weaknesses: He is an average to below average defensive player at this point.  There has been come conjecture of playing him at 3B, RF and even C over the past couple of seasons.

2009 Outlook: Moustakas’ bat sizzled in the second half of the ‘08 season which may allow for him to use High-A Wilmington as a temporary springboard to AA NW Arkansas.  Moustakas is a prime time power prospect in every sense of the word and his role in the middle of a young and already talented Kansas City Royals lineup could begin as soon as Opening Day 2010.

 

2.) Pedro Alvarez—Pittsburgh Pirates

2008 Stats: N/A

Strengths: Pedro has a polished bat that should hit for above average power and should flirt with .300 on an annual basis.  He also has a strong grasp of the strike zone and should be able to put together a good BB/K ratio.

Weaknesses: His range, glove, and arm strength all grade out as fringe average and a shift to 1B may happen at some point in his career.  More disturbing is the revelations from Pirates camp that he has reported to camp overweight and out of shape.  After being a stick in the mud during the hotly contested bonus negotiations, Alvarez will be hard pressed to meet the lofty expectations heaped upon him.

2009 Outlook: Alvarez is on the fast track to Pittsburgh as the clock is ticking on his 6-year MLB contract.  Expect him to start at High-A Lynchburgh before moving to AA Altoona at some point.  The Bucs currently have Neil Walker and Andy LaRoche battling for time at the hot corner, but the swiftly approaching arrival of Alvarez will blow both of them off to other positions or organizations.

 

3.) Brett Wallace—St. Louis Cardinals

2008 Stats:

 

 

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
QC	MID	.327	41	153	28	50	8	1	5	25	75	17	32	0	0	.418	.490	.908
SPR	TEX	.367	13	49	13	18	5	0	3	11	32	2	7	0	0	.456	.653	1.109
Minors		.337	54	202	41	68	13	1	8	36	107	19	39	0	0	.427	.530	.957

 

Strengths: Wallace has proven at multiple levels and locations that his bat is MLB ready and has the potential to be amongst league leaders in several offensive catagories.  Wallace has above average power that racks up XBH in bunches and his plate discipline is nothing short of exceptional.  He has also worked hard to improve his defense at 3B, which seems like a good home for his strong arm.

Weaknesses: At 6-1 245 lb., Wallace has big limitations athletically.  His thick lower body should drastically limit his range and baserunning speed as he ages. 

2009 Outlook: Despite Troy Glaus’ uncertain status following his shoulder surgery, Wallace will not be given much of an opportunity to win a roster spot with the Cardinals this spring.  Expect him to start the season at AAA Memphis.  He will patrol the infield of Bucsh Stadium at some point this season, however, and once he is up, it will probably be for good.

 

4.) Mat Gamel—Milwaukee Brewers

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
HUN	SOU	.329	127	508	96	167	35	7	19	96	273	55	111	6	7	.395	.537	.933
NAS	PCL	.238	5	21	3	5	0	0	1	3	8	2	10	0	0	.304	.381	.685
Minors		.325	132	529	99	172	35	7	20	99	281	57	121	6	7	.392	.531	.923
MLB		.500	2	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	.500	1.000	1.500

 

 

Strengths: Gamel’s bat strokes line drives all over the diamond with improving power to the alleys.  He is a good athlete who has a fair amount of speed that he uses well on the basepaths and defensively.  His arm is quite strong and a seemingly good fit at 3B or in the outfield.

Weaknesses: Mat’s hot corner defense went from dispicable in ‘07 to just pretty bad in ‘08.  It is still the Achilles Heel in his game and a move to the OF seems imminent.  Also, Gamel’s plate discipline lapsed considerably after the Brewers traded Matt LaPorta away.  Perhaps Gamel was trying to do too much in his absense or just received tougher pitching without the lineup protection that the former Florida Gator provided.

2009 Outlook: The gaggle of mediocre third basemen (Bill Hall, Craig Counsell, Mike Lamb) is not enough to keep Gamel off of the Miller Park infield in 2009.  Gamel will get a ton of opportunities this spring as Bill Hall just recently tore his calf muscle and is expected to be sidelined at least until Opening Day.  That may be enough time for Mat to demonstrate to the Brew Crew that he is ready to take the mantle as Milwaukee’s starting 3B.

 

5.) Matt Dominguez—Florida Marlins

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
GBO	SAL	.296	88	345	59	102	16	0	18	70	172	28	68	0	1	.354	.499	.853
Minors		.296	88	345	59	102	16	0	18	70	172	28	68	0	1	.354	.499	.853

 

 

Strengths: Dominguez showed surprising power potential as an 18 year old at full season ball.  He has excellent contact rates and should be able to hit for a high average as well.  The defensive abilities, however, is what sets Matt apart from other 3B prospects.  His range, hands, and arm strength make him a perennial Gold Glove candidate.

Weaknesses: He needs to improve on his ability to work deeper into counts and draw more walks.  More advanced pitchers will be able to get him out with off speed pitches out of the zone, lowering his batting average totals.  Though athletic, Dominguez is not a threat on the basepaths (0 career SB).

2009 Outlook: Dominguez will move to High-A Jupiter to start the season.  If he continues to build on his successes from last season, it is conceivable that Florida could bump him to AA.  He is one of the Marlins’ brightest prospects and his track to the big leagues should move quickly.

 

6.) Wilmer Flores—New York Mets

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
KNG	APP	.310	59	245	36	76	12	4	8	41	120	12	28	2	1	.352	.490	.842
SAV	SAL	.400	1	5	1	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	.400	.400	.800
BRO	NYP	.267	8	30	3	8	1	0	0	1	9	1	7	0	0	.290	.300	.590
Minors		.307	68	280	40	86	13	4	8	42	131	13	37	2	1	.347	.468	.815

 

 

Strengths: Limitless projectibility.  Flores has a long, athletic frame that has already demonstrated the ability to hit for power and average in his debut season.  He has excellent bat speed and an advanced feel for the game comparable to a young Miguel Cabrera.

Weaknesses: Many of his skills right now are quite raw.  Flores is only 17 years old and there are some questions as to how his body will develop.  If he bulks up like Cabrera did, it could prove to be slightly detrimental to his athleticism.  He also needs to continue to strengthen his grasp of the strike zone and work deeper into counts.

2009 Outlook: David Wright has the Mets’ 3B job sewn down through at least 2012 (and likely beyond).  That should give the young Flores ample time to develop at a conservative pace.  His next step is full season Low-A Savannah, which should give us a better glimpse at where he is at in his development.

 

7.) Josh Vitters—Chicago Cubs

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
PEO	MID	.214	4	14	1	3	3	0	0	1	6	0	5	0	0	.214	.429	.643
BOI	NOR	.328	61	259	38	85	25	2	5	37	129	13	45	1	3	.365	.498	.863
Minors		.322	65	273	39	88	28	2	5	38	135	13	50	1	3	.357	.495	.852

 

 

Strengths: Vitters has big time power potential and the ability to hit for a high average as well.  His bat speed is top notch and the fluidity of his swing is akin to that of elite left handed hitters.  Those within the Cubs organization praise Vitters’ work ethic and makeup.

Weaknesses: Defense is still a bit of a struggle for Josh.  He has a decent glove and a very strong arm, but his footwork and range issues are still a work in progress.  He has a big frame which should make his speed on the basepaths become below average in time.  Like many young sluggers, Vitters needs to continue to progress with his knowledge of the strike zone.

2009 Outlook: Josh was pushed a bit too aggressively in the early part of last season by being sent to full season Low-A ball.  He’’s ready now.  Expect Vitters to blossom offensively at Low-A Peoria building on his power potential and, hopefully, his defensive prowess.

 

8.) Neftali Soto—Cincinnati Reds

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
BIL	PIO	.388	15	67	12	26	10	1	4	11	50	4	10	1	0	.423	.746	1.169
DAY	MID	.326	52	218	26	71	15	1	7	36	109	7	36	1	1	.343	.500	.843
Minors		.340	67	285	38	97	25	2	11	47	159	11	46	2	1	.362	.558	.920

 

 

Strengths: Soto has an awesome bat that has demonstrated advanced power potential and an ability to drive the ball to all parts of the field with authority.  Soto is an XBH machine, racking up 39 in less than 300 AB.  He makes good contact at the plate and should be able to keep his batting average at around .300 as a pro.

Weaknesses: He is a man without a defensive home right now.  The Reds shifted him from SS to 3B and 1B but his defensive acumen is so-so.  He may need to move to the OF down the road as both Todd Frazier and Juan Francisco have more defensive upside than him at the hot corner.

2009 Outlook: Soto should move to High-A Sarasota in April and, at just 20 years old, there is no reason to rush him to AA.  Keep an eye on where Soto plays defensively.  A move to the OF could open things up for him.

 

9.) Todd Frazier—Cincinnati Reds

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
DAY	MID	.321	30	112	25	36	10	0	7	20	67	15	28	4	2	.402	.598	1.000
SAR	FSL	.281	100	366	62	103	20	3	12	54	165	41	84	8	4	.357	.451	.808
Minors		.291	130	478	87	139	30	3	19	74	232	56	112	12	6	.368	.485	.853

 

 

Strengths: Frazier’s tall, muscular fram allows for him to hit for excellent power that should translate to 22-28 HR per season at the major league level.  He has a makeup that is off the charts and his desire to be the best player on the field is evidenced in his tireless work ethic.

Weaknesses: Frazier can become overly aggressive at the plate at times, racking up strikeouts.  He, like Soto, has yet to find a defensive home, having played at SS and 1B as well as the hot corner. 

2009 Projection: Frazier continues to the Reds’ new AA affiliate Jacksonville.  Keep track of whree he plays defensively.  If he makes the move to 1B, he may find himself packaged up in a deal to another franchise in the near future.  The Reds are quite set at first with both Joey Votto and Yonder Alonso having more upside than Frazier.

 

10.) Wes Hodges—Cleveland Indians

2008 Stats:

Strengths: Hodges has a smooth swing from the right side that has shown good gap power and the ability to drive in runs.  He has a strong sense of the strike zone and is improving on working counts. 

Weaknesses: Hodges’ defense is still way below average.  His range, glove and arm accuracy still need quite a bit of refinement.  Fortunately for him, there aren’t any other decent 3B prospects in the Indians’ farm system that threaten to push him off of the hot corner, but his sub .900 fielding percentage should not earn him any opportunities at Jacobs Field anytime soon.

2009 Outlook: Hodges should get a full dose of AAA this season with an implicit goal of shoring up his defensive shortcomings.  The Indians traded for Mark DeRosa in the offseason, likely as a one year stop gap to allow Hodges to develop.  Expect him to get a late season call up after the roster expansions in September. 

There’s the first 10 third base prospects.  I am currently working on the next 10 with a goal of getting them online by tomorrow morning sometime.  Feel free to comment on any one of these 10 or to submit your own top ten lists.  If you like what you are reading and are looking to buy cards of any kind, I would be honored if you did so through the eBay afflilate links on my site!

 

 

 

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
AKR	EAS	.290	133	504	70	146	29	3	18	97	235	52	105	3	1	.354	.466	.821
Minors		.290	133	504	70	146	29	3	18	97	235	52	105	3	1	.354	.466	.821

 

 

 

 

Top 20 Shortstop Prospects for 2009

Posted by Jeremy on February 10, 2009 under 2009 Top 20 Prospects | Be the First to Comment

After working on this crop of shortstops, I came to the realization that this bunch is extremely difficult to figure out.  With the exception of a few players, many of the top 20 (and those on the outer fringes of the list) are players whose performances have not yet matched the depth of their tools.  Projectibility is a favorite buzz word in a prospector’s vocabulary, as it indicates an elevated ceiling of potential skills.  However, it also serves as a double edged sword.  Several factors can inhibit a player’s potential; injuries, strike zone judgement, and even poorly run organizaitons (my Mariners case in point).  This list is chock full of projectibility and, odds are that there will be a great deal of movement, both positive and negative, within the ranks throughout the season.  Enjoy the list!

 

1.) Gordon Beckham—Chicago White Sox

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
KAN	SAL	.310	14	58	11	18	2	0	3	8	29	5	7	0	1	.365	.500	.865
Minors		.310	14	58	11	18	2	0	3	8	29	5	7	0	1	.365	.500	.865

 

 

Strengths: Beckham is an extremely polished player with both the bat and glove who has the ability to hit for a high batting average, 20-25 HR power all while playing solid defense at the shortstop position.  He has off the charts makeup and a relentless competitive drive.

Weaknesses: At a demure 6-0 175 lb., there is not much projectivity to Beckham’s athleticism.  His ceiling is not nearly as high as the other Beckham on this list.

2009 Outlook: Gordon opened a lot of eyes in the Arizona Fall League when he hit .394 with 3 HR 13 RBI and 20 runs scored in just 18 games.  This should easily allow for him to skip High-A ball altogether and head directly to AA Birmingham to start the season.  A promotion to AAA Charlotte in the making at some point followed by a his MLB debut after rosters expand in September.  Alexei Ramirez is currently slated to play SS this season, but he seems more suited to be a 2B or OF once Beckham is ready. 

 

2.) Elvis Andrus—Texas Rangers

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
FRI	TEX	.295	118	482	82	142	19	2	4	65	177	38	91	54	16	.350	.367	.717
Minors		.295	118	482	82	142	19	2	4	65	177	38	91	54	16	.350	.367	.717

 

 

Strengths: Explosive top of the lineup speed and a bat that sizzles line drives from gap to gap.  His combination of range, glove, and arm strength makes him a future Gold Glove candidate and potential All-Star.  Several within the organization praise his makeup and leadership skills. 

Weaknesses: Andrus has below average power at this point of his career, though there is promise for more.  His plate discipline is still a bit raw which should allow for major league pitchers to exploit his aggressiveness in the early going.

2009 Outlook: Andrus inadvertantly created a good deal of buzz in the offseason as the organization stated that Michael Young will be shifted over to 3B to make room for Andrus.  He may not be ready yet for the challenge, though his work ethic and competitiveness makes it hard for him to fail for long.  As an insurance policy, the Rangers signed 11-time Gold Glover Omar Vizquel, who should serve as a fine mentor for the Rangers’ future leadoff dynamo.

 

3.) Tim Beckham—Tampa Bay Rays

2008 Stats:  

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
PRI	APP	.243	46	177	30	43	12	0	2	14	61	13	43	5	1	.297	.345	.642
HVR	NYP	.333	2	6	5	2	1	0	0	0	3	2	1	1	0	.556	.500	1.056
Minors		.246	48	183	35	45	13	0	2	14	64	15	44	6	1	.309	.350	.659

 

 

Strengths: Tools…and lots of them.  The ball jumps off of his bat due to his quick swing and surprising strength.  He projectibly can be an 18-22 HR hitter in time and his speed should produce 20-30 SB per season as well.  Defensively, he has all of the tools to be a special playmaker at the shortstop position.  Despite his youth, he has shown a great deal of maturity and exhibits a good feel for the game. 

Weaknesses: He is still quite raw.  His swing has technical flaws that need to be ironed out and his strike zone judgement is still in its early stages of development. 

2009 Outlook: Beckham should get to put his abilities on display at full season Low-A Bowling Green this summer.  He has all the abilities to be a bonafide superstar in the future, but that day currently just a speck on the horizon.  The Rays have a wealth of talent sprinkled throughout their farm system which allows for them to bring Beckham along at a prudent pace.  Once the skills catch up with the tools, Tim Beckham could become baseball’s #1 overall prospect.

4.) Carlos Triunfel—Seattle Mariners

2008 Stats:

 

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
HDM	CAL	.287	108	436	75	125	20	4	8	49	177	30	52	30	9	.336	.406	.742
Minors		.287	108	436	75	125	20	4	8	49	177	30	52	30	9	.336	.406	.742

 

 

Strengths: Triunfel has a lively bat that has shown intriguing power potential and high rates of contact.  Triunfel is a very confident player who attacks all phases of his game with a consistent desire to better his skills.  Those that have watched Carlos feel that he will develop into more of a power hitter in the future along the same lines as Miguel Tejada. 

 Weaknesses: Triunfel clashed early in the season with team officials at High Desert about undisclosed issues and was suspended for the early part of the season.  While much of this can be chalked up to youthful indescretions, it is still a matter that is worth monitoring this season.  Triunfel’s thick legs should lose some footspeed and range over time, which makes shortstop only a temporary home.  A change to the hot corner would put additional pressure on him to put up better power numbers.

2009 Outlook: Triunfel has worked dilligently since his suspension to make himself into a more complete player.  He toiled at two separate winter league stops and should get a look this spring before heading to AA West Tennessee in April.  The M’s have been aggressive with Carlos’ development and he has handled every challenge thrown at him with consistently positive results. 

 

5.) Alcides Escobar—Milwaukee Brewers

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
HUN	SOU	.328	131	546	95	179	24	5	8	76	237	31	82	34	8	.363	.434	.797
Minors		.328	131	546	95	179	24	5	8	76	237	31	82	34	8	.363	.434	.797
MLB		.500	9	4	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	.500	.500	1.000

 

 

Strengths: Emerging top of the lineup offensive potential with promising gap power.  Escobar has excellent speed that he utilizes well on the bases and in the field.  Defensively, Escobar’s range, hands, and arm strength ranks him as one of the top SS in the minor leagues.

Weaknesses: He doesn’t have the HR potential as some of the other players on this list.  Escobar also needs to do a better job of working counts and drawing more walks if he wants to be a leadoff hitter.

2009 Outlook: J.J. Hardy and Rickie Weeks are his biggest obstacles keeping Alcides Escobar from Milwaukee right now.  That should give him ample time to play everyday at AAA Nashville to put the finishing touches on his development.  He will get another opportunity to play with the Brewers or, perhaps, another organization at some point this season.

 

6.) Chris Valaika—Cincinnati Reds

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
SAR	FSL	.363	32	135	20	49	9	0	7	31	79	7	28	2	0	.393	.585	.978
CHA	SOU	.301	97	379	58	114	19	1	11	50	168	28	74	7	4	.352	.443	.795
Minors		.317	129	514	78	163	28	1	18	81	247	35	102	9	4	.363	.481	.843

 

 

Strengths: Valaika is a good offensive player with a high average bat and power to the alleys that could provide 12-18 HR per season for the Reds.  He is a gritty competitor who is a potential clubhouse leader as well.

Weaknesses: Defensively, his below average range may eventually shift him to second base.  He also needs to continue to work on tightening up his plate discipline as he doesn’t draw many walks.  Valaika has good polish, but isn’t as projectible as other prospects on this list.

2009 Outlook: After playing well in the Arizona Fall League (.311 2 HR 16 RBI 18 runs scored) Valaika will get an opportunity to play with the Reds’ big league camp at spring training before heading to AAA Louisville in April.  The Reds have a glut of depth at shortstop, but none of them have the offensive upside of Chris Valaika.  He should get the call to Cincinnati at some point in the second half of the season.

 

7.) Yamaico Navarro—Boston Red Sox

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
GRE	SAL	.280	83	325	46	91	14	4	7	54	134	29	73	3	2	.341	.412	.753
LNC	CAL	.348	42	181	33	63	13	2	4	23	92	12	30	3	2	.393	.508	.901
Minors		.304	125	506	79	154	27	6	11	77	226	41	103	6	4	.359	.447	.806

 

 

Strengths: Navarro’s offensive game made great strides last year as he demonstrated good line drive power that could produce 12-15 HR per season at the major league level.  He is strong for his size and is an adept fielder.  Yamaico plays with a high level of energy and has a penchant for making dazzling plays.

Weaknesses: He doesn’t have enough power to be a middle of the order run producer, nor enough speed to be a prototypical leadoff hitter.  Yamiaco needs to keep refining his approach at the plate to significantly cut back on his K totals.  If he doesn’t, he will get eaten alive by more advanced pitchers.

2009 Outlook: AA Portland will privide a monumental challenge for Navarro.  His ’08 season helped to vault him to the top of Boston’s organizational chart at SS, but there are several intriguing prospects (Oscar Tejeda, Argenis Diaz, Casey Kelly) who could potentially knock him down a peg or two.  Navarro will have to prove that his offensive breakthrough is more than a California League-induced aberration.

 

8.) Ivan DeJesus Jr.—Los Angeles Dodgers

2008 Stats:

 

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
JAX	SOU	.324	128	463	91	150	21	2	7	58	196	76	81	16	2	.419	.423	.843
Minors		.324	128	463	91	150	21	2	7	58	196	76	81	16	2	.419	.423	.843

 

 

Strengths: DeJesus has remarkable plate discipline for someone of his age and his quick bat produces line drives all over the field.  Ivan Jr. has above average speed that he uses on the bases wisely.  Defensively he has demonstrated good agility and fluidity.  Plus, his arm strength is just a tick above average which helps his chances as a SS.

Weaknesses: DeJesus has more power than his dad did, but he still will be hard pressed to crack double digits in HR’s at the major league level.  Despite his good defensive tools, DeJesus still makes quite a few errors, which may be due to lapses in focus on routine plays. 

2009 Outlook: DeJesus has worked hard at a couple of fall and winter league destinations this offseason.  He should get a long look by the Dodgers before reporting to AAA Albequerqe.  The Dodgers just re-signed Rafael Furcal to a three year contract which makes things more complicated for DeJesus.  Second base may be a better option though, as Blake DeWitt and veteran Mark Loretta offer far less formidable competition.  Expect DeJesus to make his Chavez Ravine debut in the second half of ‘09.

 

9.) Reid Brignac—Tampa Bay Rays

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
DUR	INT	.250	97	352	43	88	26	2	9	43	145	25	93	5	2	.299	.412	.711
Minors		.250	97	352	43	88	26	2	9	43	145	25	93	5	2	.299	.412	.711
MLB		.000	4	10	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	.091	.000	.091

 

 

Strengths: Once a defensive liability, Brignac has worked dilligently to become one of the most reliable fielding shortstops in the minor leagues.  His 6-3 180 lb. frame offers promising power potential as it matures.

Weaknesses: As Reid’s defensive skills have improved, his offensive production has regressed.  He struggled last season to control the strike zone and his power output has decreased in each of the past three seasons.  Brignac’s size offers intriguing offensive potential, but as it grows, his range could diminish as well. 

2009 Outlook: Jason Bartlett’s excellent performance in the second half of the ‘08 season gives Brignac a little more time to work things out at AAA Durham.  He needs it.  Expect Reid to earn a call up at some point ’09 with hopefully better results.  Brignac’s long term future with the Rays is tenuous as Tim Beckham is assuredly the shortstop of the future in Tampa.  However, if Reid can distinguish himself over the next season and a half, there is still a chance that he can be a solid player either with the Rays or another organiztion.

 

10.) Oscar Tejeda—Boston Red Sox

2008 Stats: 

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
GRE	SAL	.261	97	372	44	97	18	1	4	38	129	20	76	11	5	.301	.347	.647
Minors		.261	97	372	44	97	18	1	4	38	129	20	76	11	5	.301	.347	.647

 

 

 

Strengths: Tejeda has a lean and athletic body that oozes tools and projection.  His quick bat makes solid contact that produces line drives with potential power output down the road.  He has also been praised for his good makeup and baseball IQ.

 Weaknesses: He has good defensive tools but has not harnessed footwork and throwing mechanics.  This makes him error prone and may force a position switch at some point.  His power is merely a projection right now, and the ceiling is likely limited to 10-15 HR per year.  He has good speed, but has yet to figure out how to use it as a weapon on the basepaths.

2009 Outlook: Tejeda was surpassed by Yamaico Navarro on organization’s depth chart.  He has the youth and abilty to reclaim the top spot and some success at High-A Salem should help with that process.

 

11.) Pete Kozma—St. Louis Cardinals

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
QC	MID	.284	99	377	58	107	20	4	5	40	150	45	69	12	5	.363	.398	.760
PBC	FSL	.130	24	77	4	10	4	0	0	10	14	10	27	0	1	.231	.182	.413
Minors		.258	123	454	62	117	24	4	5	50	164	55	96	12	6	.340	.361	.701

 

 

Strengths: Pete has the complete package of skills suitable to becoming an MLB shortstop.  He has solid average to above average defensive tools and advanced instincts for a prospect his age.  His better tools are seen in his offensive game.  Kozma has a fundamentally sound swing that hits more line drives right now, but could develop power with some fine tuning.  He also shows a willingness to work at bats for walks and once he is on base, he uses his above average speed with savvy and discipline.  He is a gamer who works tirelessly to make himself a better baseball player.

Weaknesses: His ceiling is a little difficult to determine.  Some who have seen Kozma play feel that he could be an every day shortstop, others feel that he may develop as a utility-type player.  His blend of skills are good, but nothing stands out as being “spectacular”.  He needs to cut back on his K’s and continue to work on driving the ball with authority.

2008 Outlook: Kozma will begin back at High-A Palm Beach in April.  The Cardinals are quite thin at the shortstop position

 

12.) Cale Iorg—Detroit Tigers

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
LAK	FSL	.251	99	383	61	96	15	7	10	47	155	35	111	22	11	.329	.405	.734
Minors		.251	99	383	61	96	15	7	10	47	155	35	111	22	11	.329	.405	.734

 

 

Strengths: Iorg demonstrated a wide assortment of above average tools in his first full season.  His 6-2 180 lb. frame has good athleticism and budding power potential.  He can probably hit between 15-20 HR per season with regularity and his baserunning skills could produce the same amount of stolen bases.  Defensively, Iorg showed good range and a strong throwing arm that should make him a defensive asset in the six-hole.

Weaknesses: Iorg missed a season doing missionary work in Portugal.  At age 23, he is a little less refined than other prospects his age, though he made up ground quickly in ‘08.  His plate discpline is a major impediment that hampers his ability to hit for a higher batting average.  Also, his numbers waned as the season progressed, perhaps due to the shoulder strain that kept him sidelined for a while.

2009 Outlook: Tigers’ GM Dave Dombroski is quite optimistic that Iorg can be the team’s regular shortstop in a short period of time.  Iorg will get the opportunity to prove him right at AA Erie.  It sounds like Detroit would like to place him on the fast track.  Don’t be surprised to see him earn a promotion to AAA at some point if Iorg progresses as Dombroski hopes.  He is conservatively ranked on this list and, odds are, he will not be this low come next season.

 

 

 

 

13.) Justin Jackson—Toronto Blue Jays

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
LAN	MID	.238	121	454	74	108	26	6	7	47	167	62	154	17	8	.340	.368	.708
Minors		.238	121	454	74	108	26	6	7	47	167	62	154	17	8	.340	.368	.708

 

Strengths: There is a ton of projectibility wrapped up in this 6-2 190 lb. package.  Jackson showed an ability to hit for good XBH power that could start clearing more fences as he matures.  He has good speed once he gets moving, which allows for him to run bases well and turn doubles into triples.  He has good defensive tools highlighted by a cannon-like arm that was clocked at 93 MPH as a high school senior.

Weaknesses: Jackson is overly aggressive at the plate which allows for him to rack up strikeouts in copious amounts and leaves him vulnerable to slumps at the plate.  His power is merely a projection at this point and his baserunning speed doesn’t produce high SB totals. 

2009 Outlook: Jackson’s struggles in ‘08 shouldn’t keep him from moving up to High-A Dunedin this spring.  The Blue Jays aggressively drafted young, high-upside offensive talents in the ‘07 draft, signalling an impending youth movement in Toronto over the next couple of seasons.  Expect Jackson to be amongst the masses taking the field in Rogers Centre within the next three seasons.

 

14.) Lonnie Chisenhall—Cleveland Indians

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
MVS	NYP	.290	68	276	38	80	20	3	5	45	121	24	32	7	2	.355	.438	.794
Minors		.290	68	276	38	80	20	3	5	45	121	24	32	7	2	.355	.438	.794

 

 

 

Strengths: His bat is highly advanced for someone of his age, producing above average power with the ability to hit for a high batting average as well.  Chisenhall has a good feel for the strike zone and makes effective use of his marginal speed by intelligently running the bases.

Weaknesses: Off the field incidents ended Chisenhall’s career at the University of South Carolina as he was arrested for burglary and grand larceny.  He has seemingly moved beyond these but they still bear watching.  Additionally, his slow foot speed and thick frame fits better at 3B where his offensive numbers become more marginal.

2009 Outlook: Last season’s fine performance at short season Mahoning Valley should carry forward at full season Low-A ball this year.  Chisenhall will have to make the shift to 3B soon, but his offensive upside should allow for him to play anywhere.

 

15.) Carlos Rivero—Cleveland Indians

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
KIN	CAR	.282	108	411	46	116	27	1	8	64	169	36	84	1	2	.342	.411	.753
Minors		.282	108	411	46	116	27	1	8	64	169	36	84	1	2	.342	.411	.753

 

 

Strengths: At 6-3 210 lb., Rivero is an imposing well built SS in the mold of Cal Ripken Jr. and (ahem) Alex Rodriguez.  Rivero caught fire in August batting .356 with 4 HR and 21 RBI.  His fluid swing and quck hands has the potential to produce excellent power numbers that could surpass 20 HR per season at the major league level.  He has shown soft hands and a strong arm as well.

Weaknesses: Rivero may very well outgrow the SS position.  His substandard footspeed has already affected his range and there is plenty of reason to believe that he is not done growing.  At the plate, Rivero makes good contact but is prone to swinging at pitches out of the zone early in the count, limiting his walk totals.  The promise of power to come is merely projection at this point.

2009 Outlook: Shortstop will probably not be Rivero’s future position, but the Indians are allowing him the opportunity to play himself out of the position.  Right now, the numbers that he puts up defensively are average.  He will progress to AA Akron this season and that should prove to be a monumental challenge for him that he may not be prepared to undertake.  Don’t be surprised to see him back at Kinston if he struggles in the early going.

 

16.) Jonathan Galvez—San Diego Padres

2008 Stats: 

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
DSL PAD	DSL	.272	54	162	31	44	5	1	3	31	60	47	40	8	1	.449	.370	.819
Minors		.272	54	162	31	44	5	1	3	31	60	47	40	8	1	.449	.370	.819

 

 

 

 

 

Strengths: Galvez has a wide assortment of tools wrapped up in an athletic 6-2 175 lb. frame.  His quick right-handed swing has good leverage that should produce more HR power in future seasons.  More intriguing is his patience at the plate.  He makes good contact with balls in the strike zone and has shown an advanced ability to recognize offspeed pitches.  His foot speed is also an asset that he utilizes on the basepaths and in the field.

Weaknesses: Galvez struggled mightlily in July (.153 0 HR 9 RBI) and reports stated that the young SS put a great deal of pressure on himself, especially with runners in scoring position.  Galvez’s excellent performance happened in the Dominican Summer League and it remains to be seen how that will carry over to Low-A ball.

2009 Outlook: Galvez will only be 18 years old when the 2009 season begins which means that another dose of short season ball (probably with Eugene) looks to be in the cards.  If he continues to sustain his excellent rate of progress, he should be promoted to Fort Wayne and to the upper half of this list as well.

 

17.) Devaris Strange-Gordon—Los Angeles Dodgers

2008 Stats:

 

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
OGD	PIO	.331	60	251	45	83	13	3	2	27	108	16	29	18	5	.371	.430	.802
Minors		.331	60	251	45	83	13	3	2	27	108	16	29	18	5	.371	.430	.802

 

 

Strengths: Devaris Gordon may have to borrow his dad’s nickname “Flash” for awhile.  He is fast….really fast.  Gordon time of 6.35 seconds in the 60 yard dash makes him, hands down, the fastest player in the Dodgers organization.  His bat sprays line drives all over the field and his excellent hand-eye coordination makes him a difficult man to strike out.  Defensively, his range is almost limitless and his glove and arm strength seems to be adaquate for the position.

Weaknesses: LIke his dad, Tom, Devaris is slight of build and should never crack double digits in HR totals.  He needs to learn to work counts more effectively for walks in order to fulfill his potential as a leadoff hitter.  His speed could be used as a lethal weapon on the basepaths, but he needs to continue to hone his abilities to read pitchers’ pickoff moves.  Having Juan Pierre in the Dodgers’ system as a potential mentor couldn’t hurt.

2009 Outlook: His impressive numbers at Ogden will be challenged at Low-A Great Lakes this season.  Gordon has the electrifying speed and bat to be an elite top of the order prospect within the next couple of seasons.  His time under the radar won’t last long.

 

 

18.) P.J. Phillips—Los Angeles Angels

 

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
RCQ	CAL	.276	130	485	68	134	22	11	8	55	202	24	125	35	9	.313	.416	.729
Minors		.276	130	485	68	134	22	11	8	55	202	24	125	35	9	.313	.416	.729

 

 

Strengths: There is no shortage of projectible athleticism in Brandon Phillips’ younger brother’s game.  At 6-3 170 lbs., P.J. has top notch speed and sinewy strength that could make him a 20/20 candidate as a major leaguer.  Phillips was red hot over the second half of the season batting .315 with 6 HR 25 RBI 18 SB and 39 runs scored. 

Weaknesses: There is still a great deal of rawness and sloppy technique in Phillips’ game.  His plate discipline is nothing short of abysmal and his glove work in the field (37 errors) is quite sloppy.  P.J. may make a move to the outfield in the future.

2009 Outlook: The challenge for P.J. will be to continue his late season success at his new destination of AA Arkansas.  This year should give a better bearing on where Phillips’ skills truly are.  If he can refine his approach at the plate and shore up his defense at shortstop, he would assuredly improve his stock on this list significantly.  His brother was a late bloomer.  Perhaps, P.J. will be as well.

 

19.) Chris Nelson—Colorado Rockies

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
MOD	CAL	.167	8	30	2	5	1	0	1	5	9	2	8	0	2	.219	.300	.519
TUL	TEX	.237	73	283	38	67	18	2	3	42	98	35	69	6	1	.324	.346	.670
Minors		.230	81	313	40	72	19	2	4	47	107	37	77	6	3	.315	.342	.657

 

 

Strengths: His bat speed and leverage gives Nelson power potential that exceeds the perceived potential of his 5-11 175 lb. frame.  Nelson’s sterling performance in the AFL (.321 6 HR 17 RBI 22 runs scored) not only revived hopes in his abilities as a prospect but showed that he has made strides in improving his plate discipline.  When healthy, Nelson has the speed to steal 15-20 bases per season at the major league level.

Weaknesses: Nelson’s development has been Jekyll and Hyde throughout his career.  Last season’s numbers were mitigated severely by injuries to his hammate bone and hamstring, which makes his overall health in 2009 worth watching.  Defensively, he is below average, and his skills may be better suited for the outfield.  If he is forced to move, his value takes an immediate hit, especially in an organization with the depth of talent that Colorado has.

2009 Outlook: 2008 was a lost season for Nelson, but he showed a lot by coming back and performing so well in Arizona.  He has been included on Colorado’s 40 man roster which means that he should get a good dose of playing time during spring training.  If he continues his success, Nelson should move to AAA Colorado Springs in April.  If he struggles, he may go back to Tulsa to work things out.  Nelson seems like he has been around forever, but he is still just 23 and the potential for him to be an offensive force in a major league lineup makes him a prime sleeper for 2009.

 

 

20.) Jason Christian—Oakland Athletics

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
VAN	NOR	.291	62	213	27	62	16	1	4	24	92	39	65	13	1	.404	.432	.836
KCC	MID	.320	6	25	3	8	1	0	0	1	9	0	8	0	0	.320	.360	.680
Minors		.294	68	238	30	70	17	1	4	25	101	39	73	13	1	.396	.424	.821

 

 

Strengths: Christian is a big shortstop that has plenty of room to fill out in his 6-3 170 lb. frame.   He has shwon an ability to drive in runs and hit balls hard for good gap power.  Given his quick swing and fluidity, it is conceivable that he could develop above average power down the line.  His smoothness and strong, accurate arm reminds some scouts of fellow Athletic Bobby Crosby.  He is an intelligent player who showed a willingness to work at a variety of postions.

Weaknesses: Jason abandoned his solid plate discipline that he exhibited in his three seasons as a Michigan Wolverine.  He drew several walks, but his strikeout totals were quite a bit higher than expected.  Christian’s swing gets long at time, which leaves him prone to being exploited by advanced pitchers, especially on pitches in on the hands.

2009 Outlook: Christian has the looks of a 5th round steal.  His blend of skills and left-handed bat makes him a highly intriguing prospect for the 2009 season.  He should begin the season at either Low-A Kane County again or, perhaps, at High-A Stockton.  Either way, his ranking on this list is probably way too low and, with Oakland’s dearth of viable shortstop talent, his track to the major leagues could move quickly. 

 

 Ok, I can’t count…here’s a bonus addition to the list.

21.)  Brandon Hicks—Atlanta Braves

2008 Stats: 

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
MIS	SOU	.241	16	54	9	13	3	1	1	7	21	7	17	0	0	.333	.389	.722
MYR	CAR	.234	93	342	68	80	23	2	19	56	164	45	122	14	3	.335	.480	.815
Minors		.235	109	396	77	93	26	3	20	63	185	52	139	14	3	.335	.467	.802

 

 

 

Strengths: Power and lots of it.  Hicks is well built with a right handed swing that produces fence clearing power from foul pole to foul pole.  His sure hands and strong arm make him an above average defensive player as well.  Despite his thick 6-2 200 lb. frame, Hicks possesses excellent speed that he uses well on the basepaths.

Weaknesses: Strikeouts and lots of them.  Hicks has a high leg kick (see picture above) that occasionally throws off his timing and creates holes in his swing.  Hicks’ all or nothinig approach at the plate does not always serve him well in situations limits most of his production to the left side of the field, mitigating his batting average and run production. 

2009 Outlook: AA will be a big transition for Hicks.  He needs to cut back on his swing or he will be eaten alive and likely booted off of this list.  If he can refine his plate discipline, however, he has the potential to be the top power hitting shortstop in the minor leagues.  What he does with his swing will dictate whether he moves up this list or off of it.

Others to consider: Hector Gomez, Tyler Greene, Juan Silverio, Ehire Adrianza, Niko Vasquez, Andrew Romine, Argenis Diaz, Casey Kelly (his potential future as a pitcher keeps him off of this list). 

OOF!  That list took a long time to complete.  I ran into some formatting nightmares that gobbled up way too much time that I could have dedicated to our next list.  Let me know your thoughts about this list.  The bottom half of it was especially difficult as many of the prospects featured similar skills.  Overall, I think there is a lot of upside to this list that has yet to be fully discovered.  2009 should be a fun season!

Top 20 Second Base Prospects for 2009

Posted by Jeremy on February 5, 2009 under 2009 Top 20 Prospects | Be the First to Comment

When I started brainstorming this list, I thought that it would be full of stinkers.  Second basemen have historically been nothing more than mediocre infield prospects who couldn’t cut it on the left side of the infield.  However, players like Chase Utley, Dustin Pedroia, Ian Kinsler, and others have ushered dwellers of the 4-hole to a more respected place amongst the skill positions.  The headliner of this list is Philadelphia Phillies prospect Jason Donald, who has yet to play a professional game at 2B.  However, his expected Opening Day nod in place of the injured Mr. Utley lends credence to his inclusion on this list.

 

1.) Jason Donald—Philadelphia Phillies

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
REA	EAS	.307	92	362	57	111	19	4	14	54	180	47	86	11	2	.391	.497	.889
Minors		.307	92	362	57	111	19	4	14	54	180	47	86	11	2	.391	.497	.889

 

Strengths: Donald has a well rounded set of polished skills that are major league ready.  His leadership, baseball instincts, and work ethic are highly lauded within the organization.

Weaknesses: None of his tangible skills stand out as being above average.  Defensively, Donald can play several infield positions, but he doesn’t dazzle at any one of them.

2009 Outlook: Utley has stated publicly that he expects to be ready for opening day which, if true, will push Donald either over to 3B in place of the injured Pedro Feliz or to AAA Ottawa for some more seasoning.  Donald’s leadership and all out efforts will be well appreciated in the city of brotherly love and could propel this former Arizona Wildcat to become a sentimental fan favorite…at least until he gets traded…or suffers an 0-20 slump.

 

2.) Chris Coghlan—Florida Marlins

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
CAR	SOU	.298	132	483	83	144	32	5	7	74	207	67	65	34	10	.396	.429	.825
Minors		.298	132	483	83	144	32	5	7	74	207	67	65	34	10	.396	.429	.825

 

Strengths: His tireless competitive drive and sound fundamental skills allow for him to put up good numbers in a variety of categories.  Coghlan has excellent plate discipline and a line drive bat that could hit for a high average at the major league level.

Weaknesses: He doesn’t have great range defensively, and his power tends to hit gaps rather than seats. 

2009 Outlook: Coghlan’s future is directly correlated with the destiny of current Marlin 2B Dan Uggla.  There have been rumors swirling in the offseason that Florida is looking to trade Uggla, but nothing substantial has materialized yet.  Coghlan, in the meanwhile, will continue to polish off his development at AAA Albequerqe until room is made for him on the big league roster.

 

3.) Sean Rodriguez—Los Angeles Angels

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
SLC	PCL	.306	66	248	68	76	19	1	21	52	160	29	45	4	1	.397	.645	1.042
Minors		.306	66	248	68	76	19	1	21	52	160	29	45	4	1	.397	.645	1.042
MLB		.204	59	167	18	34	8	1	3	10	53	14	55	3	1	.276	.317	.593

 

Strengths: Sean-Rod has intriguing power potential that could translate to at least 20-25 HR per season with the Angels.  Defensively, he has a strong arm, a quick first step and soft hands that should make him an above average fielder.

Weaknesses: Rodriguez left his plate discipline in Salt Lake City after his promotion to L.A.  A disciplined hitter at AAA, Sean became over-agressive at L.A.  Also, his bulky build (6-1 215 lb.) is great for power potential, but should have an adverse effect on his range and athleticism as he ages.

2009 Outlook: Rodriguez is currently blocked by Howie Kendrick at 2B, but Kendrick has failed to complete any of his first three seasons without missing substantial time with injuries.  Rodriguez’s powerful bat is close to ready and the Angels may want to consider giving Sean some reps in the OF to increase their options.  Vlad Guerrero is rapidly losing his athleticism and Juan Rivera has a laundry list of injury woes as well.  Rodriguez turns 24 in April and the best from him is yet to come.

 

4.) Eric Young Jr.—Colorado Rockies

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
TUL	TEX	.290	105	403	74	117	24	4	3	33	158	61	77	46	16	.391	.392	.784
Minors		.290	105	403	74	117	24	4	3	33	158	61	77	46	16	.391	.392	.784

 

Strengths: World class speed and excellent lead off skills make the junior version of Eric Young a potentially better player than his father.  Young also turned in an MVP performance in the ‘08 Arizona Fall League adding surprising power to his game, hitting 5 HR in just 100 AB.

Weaknesses: Second base may be a temporary home for Young as his glove and footwork are below average.  His power spike in the AFL, while encouraging, may not carry forward to Colorado.

2009 Outlook: If he is able to stay at 2B, his chances of staying in Colorado are much better.  The Rockies are loaded with good young outfielders and Young’s offensive upside is quite a bit better than current second baseman Clint Barmes.  Watch Young’s performance at AAA Colorado Springs to see if the power carries forward and the defense improves. 

 

5.) Eric Sogard—San Diego Padres

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
LAK	CAL	.308	133	536	97	165	42	3	10	87	243	79	62	16	7	.394	.453	.847
Minors		.308	133	536	97	165	42	3	10	87	243	79	62	16	7	.394	.453	.847

 

Strengths: Much like Coghlan, Sogard has a well rounded set of polished skills that, when matched with his work ethic and competitive drive, allows him to put up big numbers across the board.  Sogard has surprising pop for someone his size and has a knack for driving in clutch runs.  His plate disicpline and high contact rates makes him a solid top of the lineup hitter.

Weaknesses: Sogard has average athleticism and speed which could serve as a minor detriment to his defensive range and quickness on the basepaths in future seasons.

2009 Outlook: Sogard will look to demonstrate that his gaudy stats at Lake Elsinore were not a California League aberration.  His skill set, both tangible and intangible, closely resembles that of 2008 AL MVP Dustin Pedroia.  By this time next season, Sogard could easily be #1 on this list.

 

6.) Nick Noonan—San Francisco Giants

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
AUG	SAL	.279	119	499	79	139	27	7	9	68	207	23	98	29	4	.315	.415	.730
Minors		.279	119	499	79	139	27	7	9	68	207	23	98	29	4	.315	.415	.730

 

Strengths: His athletic and projectible frame should build more strength as it matures.  Noonan hit a combined 34 doubles and triples to go with his seven HR.  This leads me to believe that he can develop into a 12-18 HR hitter in the future.  Noonan has an advanced mental approach both offensively and defensively and he utilizes his speed well on the basepaths.  He should be a leadoff or #2 hitter at the major league level.

Weaknesses: Noonan needs to improve his plate discipline and pitch recognition.  He tends to swing at pitches out of the strike zone, limiting his batting average totals and on base opportunities.

2009 Projection: High-A San Jose is his April destination and Noonan has the opportunity to put up some big numbers there.  He is part of a highly talented youth movement that includes the likes of Buster Posey, Angel Villalona, Madison Bumgarner, and Tim Alderson.  Look out for this Giants franchise in the next 3-5 seasons!

7.) Jose Vallejo—Texas Rangers

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
BAK	CAL	.287	75	310	48	89	14	2	9	50	134	26	46	27	3	.349	.432	.781
FRI	TEX	.297	64	259	34	77	15	2	2	31	102	15	45	15	1	.341	.394	.734
Minors		.292	139	569	82	166	29	4	11	81	236	41	91	42	4	.345	.415	.760

Strengths: Lethal top of the order speed and high efficiency on the basepaths.  Vallejo was successful on 94% of his stolen bag attempts (89 of 96) over the last two seasons.  His bat produces sizzling line drives from both sides of the plate and he showed a big spike in XBH power at both High-A and AA last season.  Defensively, Vallejo has good range and a strong arm that should make him an above average fielder.

Weaknesses:  Vallejo’s increase in power came at two environments that tend to surrender inflated offensive numbers.  Is the power spike for real?  Also, Jose needs to trim up his BB/K ratio.  Turning 15-20 of those strikeouts into walks could make him a top of the order hitter.

2009 Outlook: Vallejo may be a victim of circumstance.  Ian Kinsler has emerged as a perennial All-Star and his tenure in Texas looks to be a long one.  However, the Rangers are on the cusp of being a bonafide contender in the AL West and Vallejo could find himself being shipped to another organization in a package deal for more pitching depth.  Jose will increase his stock if he can demonstrate that the power increase is real.  He’ll get a chance to do that at AA Frisco this year.

 

8.) Adrian Cardenas—Oakland Athletics

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
CLE	FSL	.307	68	261	44	80	11	6	4	23	115	28	42	16	0	.371	.441	.812
STO	CAL	.278	15	72	11	20	1	0	1	10	24	1	14	1	0	.297	.333	.631
MID	TEX	.279	26	86	12	24	4	0	0	7	28	15	10	0	1	.392	.326	.718
Minors		.296	109	419	67	124	16	6	5	40	167	44	66	17	1	.364	.399	.763

 

Strengths: Adrian has a smooth left-handed swing that should develop 15-20 HR power and a high batting average as he matures.  He makes good contact at the plate and has good plate discipline.  Cardenas has average athleticism and speed, but he uses what he has efficiently.

Weaknesses: He has a thick torso and legs that should get slower as he ages.  He may eventually end up at 3B which would make his power potential a touch below average. 

2009 Outlook: Adrian should start the season back at AA Midland.  This should give the 21 year old a chance to develop his power numbers a little more.  Mark Ellis and Eric Chavez are under contract through at least 2010, which should give Cardenas more than enough time to refine his skills.

 

9.) Matt Antonelli—San Diego Padres

2008 Stats:

2008 Season
Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
POR	PCL	.215	128	451	62	97	19	4	7	39	145	76	86	6	4	.335	.322	.657
Minors		.215	128	451	62	97	19	4	7	39	145	76	86	6	4	.335	.322	.657
MLB		.193	21	57	6	11	2	0	1	3	16	5	11	0	0	.292	.281	.573

 

Strengths: Antonelli plays at full throttle at all times.  He has a strong, athletic body that could produce 20 HR/20 SB seasons.  Matt grinds out AB’s and works deep into counts which helps boost his walk totals and on base percentage.

Weaknesses: What happened in 2008?  Antonelli’s precipitous drop off is a little concerning as the usual culprits (injuries or breakdowns in plate discipline) were not factors.  He has solid athleticism now but, like Cardenas, he has a thick build that could lose speed and athleticism as he gets older.

2009 Outlook: Antonelli may have been a victim of bad luck in 2008.  Expect his numbers to rebound to a level that is in between his stellar ‘07 season and his lack luster ‘08.  The Padres currently list Edgar Gonzalez and Luis Rodriguez ahead of Antonelli on their depth chart, but a big spring could well change all of that.  Otherwise, Matt will start the season at AAA Portland and earn a call up at some point soon after Opening Day.

 

10.) Ryan Mount—Los Angeles Angels

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
RCQ	CAL	.290	82	338	68	98	17	5	16	49	173	23	67	10	2	.337	.512	.849
Minors		.290	82	338	68	98	17	5	16	49	173	23	67	10	2	.337	.512	.849

 

Strengths: Big time raw power.  Mount blasted 14 of his 16 HR’s over the final two months of the season.  His frame is continuing to develop and the promise for more power is intriguing.  He makes good contact at the plate and can steal the occasional bag as well.

Weaknesses: Nagging injuries, especially in his legs, has slowed his development and probably will diminish his athleticism as he ages.  Mount already has fringe average range at 2B and his glovework was not awe inspiring.  Mount needs to continue to work on raising his walk totals as advanced pitchers will exploit his aggressiveness.

2009 Outlook: Mount has been preliminarily placed on Salt Lake City’s roster, which seems a tad aggressive given his limited exposure at lower levels.  If Mount can stay healthy, his offensive upside is as good as Sean Rodriguez’s.  His heavy legs may force him to move to 3B down the road.

 

11.) Jemile Weeks-Oakland Athletics

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
KCC	MID	.297	19	74	11	22	3	1	1	8	30	13	12	6	2	.422	.405	.828
Minors		.297	19	74	11	22	3	1	1	8	30	13	12	6	2	.422	.405	.828

 

 

Strengths: Weeks is a prototypical leadoff hitter with elite speed, excellent plate discipline, and a line drive bat.  Weeks makes good contact with most everything he swings at and has good defensive range.

Weaknesses: His other defensive skills are below average which means that a shift to the OF may happen soon.  Weeks doesn’t have near as much power as his older brother Rickie.

2009 Outlook: Weeks should play at High-A Stockton to start the season.  Given that he has extensive collegiate experience, a performance based promotion to AA Midland is not at all out of the question.  The A’s have been devoid of speedy, top of the order guys in their farm system for years.  Jemile has a good chance to buck that trend within the next 2-3 seasons.

12.) Chih-Hsien Chiang—Boston Red Sox

2008 Stats:

2008 Season
Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
LNC	CAL	.303	83	320	47	97	19	2	9	59	147	18	52	2	1	.337	.459	.797
Minors		.303	83	320	47	97	19	2	9	59	147	18	52	2	1	.337	.459	.797

 

Strengths: His bat is the real deal.  Chiang has a long, agile frame that should be able to hit for more power without sacrificing his good batting average.  The Taiwanese prospect makes good contact at the plate and is aggressive with pitches in the strike zone.

Weaknesses: Chiang is not a good defensive player.  He worked out in the Fall Instructional League as an OF, which means that a position change could happen as soon as this spring.  Chiang is not a weapon on the basepaths either. 

2009 Outlook: AA Portland well be a challenge for Chiang.  Watch to see how his power and defense progresses.  With his big frame, he has the potential to be a 15-20 HR hitter within the next season or two.

 

13.) L.J. Hoes—Baltimore Orioles

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
ORI	GCL	.308	48	159	36	49	4	3	1	18	62	30	22	10	0	.416	.390	.806
Minors		.308	48	159	36	49	4	3	1	18	62	30	22	10	0	.416	.390	.806

 

Strengths: Hoes has an impressive assortment of tools.  His sinewy 6-1 185 lb. frame should build good power as he matures and his speed is well above average.  Many young hitters struggle with their plate discipline coming out of HS, but Hoes’ 30 BB/22 K ratio is nothing short of awesome.  Hoes also has a hose for an arm, being clocked at 95 MPH in high school.  He is said to be a good teammate with a tremendous work ethic as well.

Weaknesses: Right now, it has to be experience, especially at 2B.  Hoes was an outfielder in high school and has only recently made the transition to the infield.  There is promise that he will develop good power, but it is really too early to tell for sure.

2009 Outlook: There is a lot to like in this youngster and his ranking may be a bit conservative at this time.  He should get a shot at full season ball with Delmarva this spring.  That should give us all a better feel for just how good this Maryland native could someday be.

 

14.) Luis Valbuena—Cleveland Indians

2008 Stats:

Team	League	AVG	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	TB	BB	SO	SB	CS	OBP	SLG	OPS
WTN	SOU	.304	70	240	43	73	12	2	9	40	116	31	37	8	4	.381	.483	.864
TAC	PCL	.302	58	212	41	64	9	0	2	20	79	28	32	10	4	.383	.373	.756
Minors		.303	128	452	84	137	21	2	11	60	195	59	69	18	8	.382	.431	.813
MLB		.245	18	49	6	12	5	0	0	1	17	4	11	0	0	.315	.347	.662

 

Strengths: Valbuena has a nice left-handed swing that produces decent power to the gaps and line drives to all fields.  His BB/K ratio improved significantly in ‘08 and he has the speed to steal double digit bags at the major league level.  Defensively, Valbuena has good range and consistently makes plays and limits his error totals.

Weaknesses: The offensive skills are good but not great.  Valbuena’s ceiling is limited to being a solid, middle of the road second baseman with better than average defensive skills.  While this is not necessarily bad, it won’t propel him into the upper echelon of this list.

2009 Outlook: Luis’ skill set is major league ready, but he must first find a way to distinguish himself from the other 2nd basemen on Cleveland’s roster.  His best chance to do that will be this spring.  If he can hit for the power that he displayed in the Venezuelan Winter League (.291 5 HR 20 RBI), there is a possibility that he could make the Tribe’s 25 man roster.  Otherwise, he will head to AAA Columbus to play every day and wait for an opportunity.

 

15.) Ryan Adams—Baltimore Orioles

2008 Stats:

Team

League

AVG

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR